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icon for Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska
Élections·Élection Principale

Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska

icon for Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska
Élections·Élection Principale

Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska

Savo Minić 59%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Bogdan Jovanović <1%

Ćamil Duraković <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Savo Minić 59%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Bogdan Jovanović <1%

Ćamil Duraković <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$3,254 Vol.

59%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$1,308 Vol.

36%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$263 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$320 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$323 Vol.

<1%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$346 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$354 Vol.

<1%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$310 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$290 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$312 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Savo Minić leads trader pricing at 60% for the October 4, 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election as the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) nominee and current prime minister.** The ruling party's entrenched organizational network and record of recent entity-level wins underpin this positioning, even after Milorad Dodik's six-year ban from public office shifted the ticket to Minić. Opposition candidate Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) sits at 25%, reflecting a consolidated but narrower challenger base focused on economic critiques and governance transparency. Multiple lower-probability candidates, including several Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders such as Ramiz Salkić and Ćamil Duraković, trade near zero or flat at 50% in ancillary outcomes, consistent with the Serb-majority contest dynamics and historical SNSD dominance in direct presidential votes. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in the past week, though the ongoing campaign emphasizes entity stability and jurisdictional issues ahead of the general elections.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,931
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.izbori.ba/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Savo Minić leads trader pricing at 60% for the October 4, 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election as the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) nominee and current prime minister.** The ruling party's entrenched organizational network and record of recent entity-level wins underpin this positioning, even after Milorad Dodik's six-year ban from public office shifted the ticket to Minić. Opposition candidate Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) sits at 25%, reflecting a consolidated but narrower challenger base focused on economic critiques and governance transparency. Multiple lower-probability candidates, including several Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders such as Ramiz Salkić and Ćamil Duraković, trade near zero or flat at 50% in ancillary outcomes, consistent with the Serb-majority contest dynamics and historical SNSD dominance in direct presidential votes. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in the past week, though the ongoing campaign emphasizes entity stability and jurisdictional issues ahead of the general elections.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,931
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.izbori.ba/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Denis Bećirović sera-t-il le membre bosniaque de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine après les élections générales de 2026 ?

Denis Bećirović sera-t-il le membre bosniaque de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine après les élections générales de 2026 ?

64%
Oui
icon for Darijana Filipović sera-t-elle la membre croate de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine à l'issue des élections générales de 2026 ?

Darijana Filipović sera-t-elle la membre croate de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine à l'issue des élections générales de 2026 ?

70%
Oui
icon for Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

87%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Savo Minić » à 59%, suivi de « Branko Blanuša » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 59¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska » est « Savo Minić » à 59%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Branko Blanuša » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection présidentielle de la Republika Srpska » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.