**With roughly 1–3 inches of rain recorded in NYC through mid-September 2026 against a 4.3-inch historical average, trader consensus centers on 3–4 inches total as the most likely outcome.** Recent heavy showers on September 13 added localized amounts of 1–3 inches in spots, yet National Weather Service forecasts show clearing conditions and low precipitation probabilities through at least September 19. This leaves the second half of the month decisive, where extended-range model spreads and the potential for late-season fronts or tropical moisture create genuine uncertainty. The close contest between the 3–4 inch bin and the >6 inch tail reflects both the current deficit and the possibility of one or more significant events, consistent with September’s high interannual variability and the influence of a strengthening El Niño pattern that slightly favors drier overall conditions while still permitting episodic heavy rain.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrécipitations à New York en septembre ?
Précipitations à New York en septembre ?
>6" 23%
3-4" 21%
2-3" 18%
4-5" 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
<2"
8%
2-3"
18%
3-4"
23%
4-5"
18%
5-6"
9%
>6"
23%
>6" 23%
3-4" 21%
2-3" 18%
4-5" 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
<2"
$1,540 Vol.
8%
2-3"
$980 Vol.
18%
3-4"
$296 Vol.
23%
4-5"
$867 Vol.
18%
5-6"
$289 Vol.
9%
>6"
$1,614 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**With roughly 1–3 inches of rain recorded in NYC through mid-September 2026 against a 4.3-inch historical average, trader consensus centers on 3–4 inches total as the most likely outcome.** Recent heavy showers on September 13 added localized amounts of 1–3 inches in spots, yet National Weather Service forecasts show clearing conditions and low precipitation probabilities through at least September 19. This leaves the second half of the month decisive, where extended-range model spreads and the potential for late-season fronts or tropical moisture create genuine uncertainty. The close contest between the 3–4 inch bin and the >6 inch tail reflects both the current deficit and the possibility of one or more significant events, consistent with September’s high interannual variability and the influence of a strengthening El Niño pattern that slightly favors drier overall conditions while still permitting episodic heavy rain.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Volume
$5,585Date de fin
2 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**With roughly 1–3 inches of rain recorded in NYC through mid-September 2026 against a 4.3-inch historical average, trader consensus centers on 3–4 inches total as the most likely outcome.** Recent heavy showers on September 13 added localized amounts of 1–3 inches in spots, yet National Weather Service forecasts show clearing conditions and low precipitation probabilities through at least September 19. This leaves the second half of the month decisive, where extended-range model spreads and the potential for late-season fronts or tropical moisture create genuine uncertainty. The close contest between the 3–4 inch bin and the >6 inch tail reflects both the current deficit and the possibility of one or more significant events, consistent with September’s high interannual variability and the influence of a strengthening El Niño pattern that slightly favors drier overall conditions while still permitting episodic heavy rain.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,585Date de fin
2 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**With roughly 1–3 inches of rain recorded in NYC through mid-September 2026 against a 4.3-inch historical average, trader consensus centers on 3–4 inches total as the most likely outcome.** Recent heavy showers on September 13 added localized amounts of 1–3 inches in spots, yet National Weather Service forecasts show clearing conditions and low precipitation probabilities through at least September 19. This leaves the second half of the month decisive, where extended-range model spreads and the potential for late-season fronts or tropical moisture create genuine uncertainty. The close contest between the 3–4 inch bin and the >6 inch tail reflects both the current deficit and the possibility of one or more significant events, consistent with September’s high interannual variability and the influence of a strengthening El Niño pattern that slightly favors drier overall conditions while still permitting episodic heavy rain.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes