OpenAI’s recent announcement that an unreleased internal model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems—has driven the 61% market-implied odds in its favor. The company reported deploying thousands of AI agents over 88 hours with substantial compute resources to produce both an analytical proof and Lean formalization, building on its earlier 2026 advances in mathematical reasoning such as new bounds in sphere packing and coding theory. In contrast, Anthropic researcher Levent Alpöge collaborated with NYU mathematician Tristan Buckmaster on related fluid-dynamics results using models from both labs, yet those findings addressed stepping-stone problems rather than a full Millennium Prize solution. Ongoing controversy over research priority and data access has not altered trader consensus that OpenAI’s demonstrated scale and timing give it the edge for the next verified breakthrough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOpenAI vs Anthropic : Premier à un autre prix du millénaire ?
OpenAI vs Anthropic : Premier à un autre prix du millénaire ?
OpenAI
63% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
OpenAI
63% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before Anthropic does so. This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before OpenAI does so.
If neither company makes a qualifying announcement by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if both make qualifying announcements on the same calendar day, this market will resolve 50-50. A qualifying announcement by any other company does not end the race or affect resolution.
The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the company, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the company's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent announcement that an unreleased internal model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems—has driven the 61% market-implied odds in its favor. The company reported deploying thousands of AI agents over 88 hours with substantial compute resources to produce both an analytical proof and Lean formalization, building on its earlier 2026 advances in mathematical reasoning such as new bounds in sphere packing and coding theory. In contrast, Anthropic researcher Levent Alpöge collaborated with NYU mathematician Tristan Buckmaster on related fluid-dynamics results using models from both labs, yet those findings addressed stepping-stone problems rather than a full Millennium Prize solution. Ongoing controversy over research priority and data access has not altered trader consensus that OpenAI’s demonstrated scale and timing give it the edge for the next verified breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before Anthropic does so. This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before OpenAI does so.
If neither company makes a qualifying announcement by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if both make qualifying announcements on the same calendar day, this market will resolve 50-50. A qualifying announcement by any other company does not end the race or affect resolution.
The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the company, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the company's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If neither company makes a qualifying announcement by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if both make qualifying announcements on the same calendar day, this market will resolve 50-50. A qualifying announcement by any other company does not end the race or affect resolution.
The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the company, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the company's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$472Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before Anthropic does so. This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before OpenAI does so.
If neither company makes a qualifying announcement by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if both make qualifying announcements on the same calendar day, this market will resolve 50-50. A qualifying announcement by any other company does not end the race or affect resolution.
The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the company, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the company's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent announcement that an unreleased internal model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems—has driven the 61% market-implied odds in its favor. The company reported deploying thousands of AI agents over 88 hours with substantial compute resources to produce both an analytical proof and Lean formalization, building on its earlier 2026 advances in mathematical reasoning such as new bounds in sphere packing and coding theory. In contrast, Anthropic researcher Levent Alpöge collaborated with NYU mathematician Tristan Buckmaster on related fluid-dynamics results using models from both labs, yet those findings addressed stepping-stone problems rather than a full Millennium Prize solution. Ongoing controversy over research priority and data access has not altered trader consensus that OpenAI’s demonstrated scale and timing give it the edge for the next verified breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before Anthropic does so. This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before OpenAI does so.
If neither company makes a qualifying announcement by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if both make qualifying announcements on the same calendar day, this market will resolve 50-50. A qualifying announcement by any other company does not end the race or affect resolution.
The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the company, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the company's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If neither company makes a qualifying announcement by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if both make qualifying announcements on the same calendar day, this market will resolve 50-50. A qualifying announcement by any other company does not end the race or affect resolution.
The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the company, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the company's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$472Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s recent announcement that an unreleased internal model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems—has driven the 61% market-implied odds in its favor. The company reported deploying thousands of AI agents over 88 hours with substantial compute resources to produce both an analytical proof and Lean formalization, building on its earlier 2026 advances in mathematical reasoning such as new bounds in sphere packing and coding theory. In contrast, Anthropic researcher Levent Alpöge collaborated with NYU mathematician Tristan Buckmaster on related fluid-dynamics results using models from both labs, yet those findings addressed stepping-stone problems rather than a full Millennium Prize solution. Ongoing controversy over research priority and data access has not altered trader consensus that OpenAI’s demonstrated scale and timing give it the edge for the next verified breakthrough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Anthropic annoncera-t-il une solution à un problème du prix du millénaire d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
53%
Oui
OpenAI annoncera-t-elle une autre solution au Prix du millénaire d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
69%
Oui
Aucun problème du prix du Millénaire ne sera-t-il résolu par l'IA d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
31%
Oui
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