Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Finance·Pape

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

icon for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Finance·Pape

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

janv. 1, 2027

janv. 1, 2028

janv. 1, 2027

janv. 1, 2028

Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 95.3%

<500B 1.1%

1.5T+ 1.1%

1 000 milliards–1 250 milliards <1%

Polymarket

$2,174,577 Vol.

Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 95.3%

<500B 1.1%

1.5T+ 1.1%

1 000 milliards–1 250 milliards <1%

Polymarket

$2,174,577 Vol.

<500B

$313,380 Vol.

1%

500–750 milliards de dollars

$170,329 Vol.

<1%

750B–1T

$183,486 Vol.

<1%

1 000 milliards–1 250 milliards

$224,747 Vol.

<1%

1,25T–1,5T

$531,561 Vol.

<1%

1.5T+

$161,897 Vol.

1%

Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2026

$594,062 Vol.

95%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Sam Altman’s September 12 statement that OpenAI will not pursue an IPO in 2026, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work as a private company, underpins the 94.8% market-implied probability of no listing by year-end. The June confidential S-1 filing left timing flexible, yet internal deliberations have consistently favored a 2027 window to achieve the CEO’s $1 trillion valuation target over the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion, amid caution on compliance burdens and precedents like SpaceX volatility. Trader consensus reflects these explicit signals and the absence of pre-IPO marketing. A sudden regulatory framework or major revenue catalyst could still compress the timeline, though both appear low-probability near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,174,577
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Sam Altman’s September 12 statement that OpenAI will not pursue an IPO in 2026, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work as a private company, underpins the 94.8% market-implied probability of no listing by year-end. The June confidential S-1 filing left timing flexible, yet internal deliberations have consistently favored a 2027 window to achieve the CEO’s $1 trillion valuation target over the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion, amid caution on compliance burdens and precedents like SpaceX volatility. Trader consensus reflects these explicit signals and the absence of pre-IPO marketing. A sudden regulatory framework or major revenue catalyst could still compress the timeline, though both appear low-probability near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,174,577
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

78%
Oui
icon for Capitalisation boursière de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI supérieure à 1 000 milliards de dollars ?

Capitalisation boursière de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI supérieure à 1 000 milliards de dollars ?

95%
Oui
icon for SpaceX ou OpenAI : quelle introduction en bourse aura la plus grande capitalisation ?

SpaceX ou OpenAI : quelle introduction en bourse aura la plus grande capitalisation ?

57%
SpaceX

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 » à 95%, suivi de « <500B » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap » a généré $2.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Sep 22, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap » est « Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <500B » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.