Recent reports of Anthropic targeting a roughly $2 trillion IPO valuation in a mid-October window, with Nvidia considering a $10 billion anchor investment, have anchored trader sentiment around the $1.75–2.25 trillion range. The company’s annualized revenue run rate reached $65 billion by late July after a $65 billion Series H round at $965 billion in May, fueled by strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models for coding and agentic tasks. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in both private valuation and revenue growth, though the closely matched leading outcomes reflect uncertainty over exact pricing multiples on projected 2028 revenue of $190–200 billion amid volatile AI sector dynamics and potential last-minute shifts in market conditions or anchor commitments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1.75–$2.00T 43%
$2.00–$2.25T 36.1%
$1.50–$1.75T 12.4%
$2.50T+ 4.3%
$41,254 Vol.
$41,254 Vol.
<$1.25T
<1%
$1.25–$1.50T
1%
$1.50–$1.75T
12%
$1.75–$2.00T
43%
$2.00–$2.25T
36%
$2.25–$2.50T
19%
$2.50T+
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
$1.75–$2.00T 43%
$2.00–$2.25T 36.1%
$1.50–$1.75T 12.4%
$2.50T+ 4.3%
$41,254 Vol.
$41,254 Vol.
<$1.25T
<1%
$1.25–$1.50T
1%
$1.50–$1.75T
12%
$1.75–$2.00T
43%
$2.00–$2.25T
36%
$2.25–$2.50T
19%
$2.50T+
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 9:45 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of Anthropic targeting a roughly $2 trillion IPO valuation in a mid-October window, with Nvidia considering a $10 billion anchor investment, have anchored trader sentiment around the $1.75–2.25 trillion range. The company’s annualized revenue run rate reached $65 billion by late July after a $65 billion Series H round at $965 billion in May, fueled by strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models for coding and agentic tasks. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in both private valuation and revenue growth, though the closely matched leading outcomes reflect uncertainty over exact pricing multiples on projected 2028 revenue of $190–200 billion amid volatile AI sector dynamics and potential last-minute shifts in market conditions or anchor commitments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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