OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation underpin trader consensus around a 1.5T+ closing market cap, with the 80.7% implied probability reflecting sustained institutional appetite for AI leaders despite projected 2026 operating losses near $14 billion. Recent statements from CFO Sarah Friar confirming a likely 2027 debut, after the September 2026 window passed, have not shifted odds materially, as revenue run rates near $24 billion and heavy investment in compute capacity continue to support premium multiples relative to historical tech IPO benchmarks. Key swing factors include the pace of revenue inflection, regulatory clarity on frontier models, and broader equity market conditions for high-growth listings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1,5 T$+ 80.8%
1,25 B–1,5 B 10%
1 billion–1,25 billion 4.0%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027 3.8%
$236,554 Vol.
$236,554 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<500 Md$
<1%
500–750 Md$
1%
750 Md$–1 Bn$
2%
1 billion–1,25 billion
4%
1,25 B–1,5 B
10%
1,5 T$+
81%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027
4%
1,5 T$+ 80.8%
1,25 B–1,5 B 10%
1 billion–1,25 billion 4.0%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027 3.8%
$236,554 Vol.
$236,554 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<500 Md$
$18,932 Vol.
<1%
500–750 Md$
$20,521 Vol.
1%
750 Md$–1 Bn$
$47,671 Vol.
2%
1 billion–1,25 billion
$26,456 Vol.
4%
1,25 B–1,5 B
$21,258 Vol.
10%
1,5 T$+
$55,672 Vol.
81%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027
$46,044 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation underpin trader consensus around a 1.5T+ closing market cap, with the 80.7% implied probability reflecting sustained institutional appetite for AI leaders despite projected 2026 operating losses near $14 billion. Recent statements from CFO Sarah Friar confirming a likely 2027 debut, after the September 2026 window passed, have not shifted odds materially, as revenue run rates near $24 billion and heavy investment in compute capacity continue to support premium multiples relative to historical tech IPO benchmarks. Key swing factors include the pace of revenue inflection, regulatory clarity on frontier models, and broader equity market conditions for high-growth listings.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$236,554Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation underpin trader consensus around a 1.5T+ closing market cap, with the 80.7% implied probability reflecting sustained institutional appetite for AI leaders despite projected 2026 operating losses near $14 billion. Recent statements from CFO Sarah Friar confirming a likely 2027 debut, after the September 2026 window passed, have not shifted odds materially, as revenue run rates near $24 billion and heavy investment in compute capacity continue to support premium multiples relative to historical tech IPO benchmarks. Key swing factors include the pace of revenue inflection, regulatory clarity on frontier models, and broader equity market conditions for high-growth listings.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$236,554Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation underpin trader consensus around a 1.5T+ closing market cap, with the 80.7% implied probability reflecting sustained institutional appetite for AI leaders despite projected 2026 operating losses near $14 billion. Recent statements from CFO Sarah Friar confirming a likely 2027 debut, after the September 2026 window passed, have not shifted odds materially, as revenue run rates near $24 billion and heavy investment in compute capacity continue to support premium multiples relative to historical tech IPO benchmarks. Key swing factors include the pace of revenue inflection, regulatory clarity on frontier models, and broader equity market conditions for high-growth listings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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