OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges because traders weigh the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion against CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus debut and CFO Sarah Friar’s recent confirmation of a likely 2027 listing. Strong revenue momentum—roughly $2 billion monthly run-rate—and major backer commitments from Amazon and Nvidia support premium pricing, yet persistent operating losses and post-SpaceX market volatility introduce caution. The spread across mid-trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over timing, regulatory review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and whether public investors will pay a meaningful premium to the last private round once the S-1 becomes effective.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.3%
$2.5T+ 14.5%
$123,675 Vol.
$123,675 Vol.
30 juin 2027
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
6%
$2.5T+
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.3%
$2.5T+ 14.5%
$123,675 Vol.
$123,675 Vol.
30 juin 2027
<$1T
$15,033 Vol.
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,043 Vol.
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$6,912 Vol.
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,070 Vol.
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,585 Vol.
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,564 Vol.
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$6,826 Vol.
6%
$2.5T+
$57,641 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges because traders weigh the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion against CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus debut and CFO Sarah Friar’s recent confirmation of a likely 2027 listing. Strong revenue momentum—roughly $2 billion monthly run-rate—and major backer commitments from Amazon and Nvidia support premium pricing, yet persistent operating losses and post-SpaceX market volatility introduce caution. The spread across mid-trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over timing, regulatory review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and whether public investors will pay a meaningful premium to the last private round once the S-1 becomes effective.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$123,675Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges because traders weigh the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion against CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus debut and CFO Sarah Friar’s recent confirmation of a likely 2027 listing. Strong revenue momentum—roughly $2 billion monthly run-rate—and major backer commitments from Amazon and Nvidia support premium pricing, yet persistent operating losses and post-SpaceX market volatility introduce caution. The spread across mid-trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over timing, regulatory review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and whether public investors will pay a meaningful premium to the last private round once the S-1 becomes effective.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$123,675Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s IPO valuation odds cluster tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges because traders weigh the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion against CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus debut and CFO Sarah Friar’s recent confirmation of a likely 2027 listing. Strong revenue momentum—roughly $2 billion monthly run-rate—and major backer commitments from Amazon and Nvidia support premium pricing, yet persistent operating losses and post-SpaceX market volatility introduce caution. The spread across mid-trillion buckets reflects uncertainty over timing, regulatory review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and whether public investors will pay a meaningful premium to the last private round once the S-1 becomes effective.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?
30%
La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
81%
Oui
Capitalisation boursière de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI supérieure à 1 000 milliards de dollars ?
95%
Oui
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