Shontel Brown’s commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent since 2021, and decisive primary victories in May 2026, where she captured 85.5% against intra-party challengers. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins. Mike Kirchner’s Republican nomination has drawn limited visibility or resources in a low-turnout primary. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still alter probabilities before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-11
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-11
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
1%
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
$15,629 Vol.
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
$22,797 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown’s commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent since 2021, and decisive primary victories in May 2026, where she captured 85.5% against intra-party challengers. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins. Mike Kirchner’s Republican nomination has drawn limited visibility or resources in a low-turnout primary. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still alter probabilities before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,426Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown’s commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent since 2021, and decisive primary victories in May 2026, where she captured 85.5% against intra-party challengers. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins. Mike Kirchner’s Republican nomination has drawn limited visibility or resources in a low-turnout primary. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still alter probabilities before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,426Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Shontel Brown’s commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent since 2021, and decisive primary victories in May 2026, where she captured 85.5% against intra-party challengers. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins. Mike Kirchner’s Republican nomination has drawn limited visibility or resources in a low-turnout primary. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still alter probabilities before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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