Incumbent Republican Mike Turner holds a strong position in Ohio’s 10th congressional district, a Republican-leaning seat with a Partisan Voter Index around R+3 to R+6 that encompasses the Dayton metro area, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, and parts of Butler County following 2025 redistricting. Turner, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the House Armed Services and Intelligence committees, won his May 2026 primary unopposed and maintains a consistent polling lead of 5–7 points in July surveys. Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner who prevailed in a crowded May primary, has highlighted local healthcare and military family issues but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for over two decades. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the incumbent’s advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and district composition ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-10
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-10
$38,921 Vol.
$38,921 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Turner (R)
84%
Kristina Knickerbocker (D)
17%
$38,921 Vol.
$38,921 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mike Turner (R)
$18,567 Vol.
84%
Kristina Knickerbocker (D)
$20,354 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Turner holds a strong position in Ohio’s 10th congressional district, a Republican-leaning seat with a Partisan Voter Index around R+3 to R+6 that encompasses the Dayton metro area, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, and parts of Butler County following 2025 redistricting. Turner, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the House Armed Services and Intelligence committees, won his May 2026 primary unopposed and maintains a consistent polling lead of 5–7 points in July surveys. Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner who prevailed in a crowded May primary, has highlighted local healthcare and military family issues but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for over two decades. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the incumbent’s advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and district composition ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,921Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Turner holds a strong position in Ohio’s 10th congressional district, a Republican-leaning seat with a Partisan Voter Index around R+3 to R+6 that encompasses the Dayton metro area, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, and parts of Butler County following 2025 redistricting. Turner, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the House Armed Services and Intelligence committees, won his May 2026 primary unopposed and maintains a consistent polling lead of 5–7 points in July surveys. Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner who prevailed in a crowded May primary, has highlighted local healthcare and military family issues but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for over two decades. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the incumbent’s advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and district composition ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,921Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Turner holds a strong position in Ohio’s 10th congressional district, a Republican-leaning seat with a Partisan Voter Index around R+3 to R+6 that encompasses the Dayton metro area, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, and parts of Butler County following 2025 redistricting. Turner, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the House Armed Services and Intelligence committees, won his May 2026 primary unopposed and maintains a consistent polling lead of 5–7 points in July surveys. Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner who prevailed in a crowded May primary, has highlighted local healthcare and military family issues but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for over two decades. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the incumbent’s advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and district composition ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes