Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City region, yet first-past-the-post mechanics and fragmented opposition create wide variability in seat outcomes across models. Projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting uncertainty over whether PCQ vote efficiency will deliver concentrated wins in targeted ridings or disperse without breakthroughs. The ongoing campaign, including recent debates and regional shifts, keeps multiple seat bands competitive in trader assessments, as modest changes in turnout or late momentum could expand or limit gains before the October 5 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour17+ 21.1%
8-10 20%
5-7 19%
11-13 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
<5
4%
5-7
14%
8-10
20%
11-13
19%
14-16
12%
17+
19%
17+ 21.1%
8-10 20%
5-7 19%
11-13 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
<5
$1,979 Vol.
4%
5-7
$838 Vol.
14%
8-10
$1,374 Vol.
20%
11-13
$1,439 Vol.
19%
14-16
$1,017 Vol.
12%
17+
$1,072 Vol.
19%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City region, yet first-past-the-post mechanics and fragmented opposition create wide variability in seat outcomes across models. Projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting uncertainty over whether PCQ vote efficiency will deliver concentrated wins in targeted ridings or disperse without breakthroughs. The ongoing campaign, including recent debates and regional shifts, keeps multiple seat bands competitive in trader assessments, as modest changes in turnout or late momentum could expand or limit gains before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$7,719Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City region, yet first-past-the-post mechanics and fragmented opposition create wide variability in seat outcomes across models. Projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting uncertainty over whether PCQ vote efficiency will deliver concentrated wins in targeted ridings or disperse without breakthroughs. The ongoing campaign, including recent debates and regional shifts, keeps multiple seat bands competitive in trader assessments, as modest changes in turnout or late momentum could expand or limit gains before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$7,719Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15-17% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City region, yet first-past-the-post mechanics and fragmented opposition create wide variability in seat outcomes across models. Projections from aggregators range from single digits to the mid-teens, reflecting uncertainty over whether PCQ vote efficiency will deliver concentrated wins in targeted ridings or disperse without breakthroughs. The ongoing campaign, including recent debates and regional shifts, keeps multiple seat bands competitive in trader assessments, as modest changes in turnout or late momentum could expand or limit gains before the October 5 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le PQ remportera-t-il moins de 50 sièges à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec lors de cette élection ?
41%
Oui
Le PLQ remportera-t-il 28 à 31 sièges à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec lors de cette élection ?
36%
Oui
La CAQ remportera-t-elle 20 à 24 sièges à l’Assemblée nationale du Québec lors de cette élection ?
35%
Oui
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