The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, concluded with preliminary Central Election Commission counts placing United Russia at approximately 57% on party lists after processing over 40% of protocols, aligning closely with the market's leading 55-60% outcome. This positioning reflects the party's dominance in a tightly managed contest featuring limited opposition, exclusion of anti-war lists such as Yabloko, and consistent leads in single-mandate districts. Turnout reached about 56.7%, higher than prior cycles, amid wartime conditions and economic pressures. Other parties trailed well behind the 5% threshold for representation, supporting trader consensus on a result that would secure a constitutional majority when combined with constituency wins. Final tallies expected by September 25 could refine the exact share within this band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour55-60 % 86%
60 %+ 10.0%
50-55 % 5%
45-50 % <1%
$34,224 Vol.
$34,224 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
<40 %
<1%
40-45 %
<1%
45-50 %
<1%
50-55 %
5%
55-60 %
86%
60 %+
10%
55-60 % 86%
60 %+ 10.0%
50-55 % 5%
45-50 % <1%
$34,224 Vol.
$34,224 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
<40 %
$146 Vol.
<1%
40-45 %
$578 Vol.
<1%
45-50 %
$5,452 Vol.
<1%
50-55 %
$8,072 Vol.
5%
55-60 %
$5,529 Vol.
86%
60 %+
$14,448 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, concluded with preliminary Central Election Commission counts placing United Russia at approximately 57% on party lists after processing over 40% of protocols, aligning closely with the market's leading 55-60% outcome. This positioning reflects the party's dominance in a tightly managed contest featuring limited opposition, exclusion of anti-war lists such as Yabloko, and consistent leads in single-mandate districts. Turnout reached about 56.7%, higher than prior cycles, amid wartime conditions and economic pressures. Other parties trailed well behind the 5% threshold for representation, supporting trader consensus on a result that would secure a constitutional majority when combined with constituency wins. Final tallies expected by September 25 could refine the exact share within this band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$34,224Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, concluded with preliminary Central Election Commission counts placing United Russia at approximately 57% on party lists after processing over 40% of protocols, aligning closely with the market's leading 55-60% outcome. This positioning reflects the party's dominance in a tightly managed contest featuring limited opposition, exclusion of anti-war lists such as Yabloko, and consistent leads in single-mandate districts. Turnout reached about 56.7%, higher than prior cycles, amid wartime conditions and economic pressures. Other parties trailed well behind the 5% threshold for representation, supporting trader consensus on a result that would secure a constitutional majority when combined with constituency wins. Final tallies expected by September 25 could refine the exact share within this band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$34,224Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, concluded with preliminary Central Election Commission counts placing United Russia at approximately 57% on party lists after processing over 40% of protocols, aligning closely with the market's leading 55-60% outcome. This positioning reflects the party's dominance in a tightly managed contest featuring limited opposition, exclusion of anti-war lists such as Yabloko, and consistent leads in single-mandate districts. Turnout reached about 56.7%, higher than prior cycles, amid wartime conditions and economic pressures. Other parties trailed well behind the 5% threshold for representation, supporting trader consensus on a result that would secure a constitutional majority when combined with constituency wins. Final tallies expected by September 25 could refine the exact share within this band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Élections en Russie : Russie unie gagne-t-elle dans toutes les régions ?
94%
Oui
Élections en Russie : Russie Juste (SR) franchit-elle le seuil de la Douma ?
53%
Oui
Le parti Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP) remportera-t-il au moins un siège lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?
99%
Oui
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