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icon for Prochain maire d'eThekwini (Durban) ?
Politique·Afrique Du Sud

Prochain maire d'eThekwini (Durban) ?

icon for Prochain maire d'eThekwini (Durban) ?
Politique·Afrique Du Sud

Prochain maire d'eThekwini (Durban) ?

Mkhuleko Hlengwa 30%

Haniff Hoosen 28%

Thabani Nyawose 14%

Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi 14%

Polymarket

$22,827 Vol.

Mkhuleko Hlengwa 30%

Haniff Hoosen 28%

Thabani Nyawose 14%

Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi 14%

Polymarket

$22,827 Vol.

icon for Mkhuleko Hlengwa

Mkhuleko Hlengwa

$1,091 Vol.

30%

icon for Haniff Hoosen

Haniff Hoosen

$4,745 Vol.

28%

icon for Thabani Nyawose

Thabani Nyawose

$302 Vol.

14%

icon for Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi

Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi

$1,383 Vol.

14%

icon for Maggie Govender

Maggie Govender

$135 Vol.

6%

icon for Philani Mavundla

Philani Mavundla

$57 Vol.

5%

icon for Cyril Xaba

Cyril Xaba

$8,376 Vol.

2%

icon for Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi

Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi

$187 Vol.

2%

icon for Mina Soma-Lesoma

Mina Soma-Lesoma

$860 Vol.

2%

icon for Zandile Gumede

Zandile Gumede

$1,914 Vol.

1%

icon for Nomusa Dube-Ncube

Nomusa Dube-Ncube

$897 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zwakele Mncwango

Zwakele Mncwango

$2,878 Vol.

<1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent candidate announcements by major parties ahead of South Africa’s November 4 local government elections have kept probabilities for the next eThekwini mayor closely contested on prediction markets.** MK Party support leads recent polls at around 55% in one survey (Ipsos) but lower in others, positioning its candidate Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi as a frontrunner if the party secures an outright majority or favorable coalition. The IFP’s late-August naming of Deputy Transport Minister Mkhuleko Hlengwa, paired with a deputy mayoral pick, and the DA’s selection of Haniff Hoosen have boosted those contenders’ visibility. The ANC’s shortlist—including incumbent Cyril Xaba, Nomusa Dube-Ncube, and Thabani Nyawose—remains un-finalized, adding uncertainty. Service-delivery concerns such as water infrastructure and the metro’s R70-billion budget, combined with potential post-election coalition negotiations if no party wins a clear majority, sustain trader caution and prevent any single outcome from pulling decisively ahead.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,827
Date de fin
18 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent candidate announcements by major parties ahead of South Africa’s November 4 local government elections have kept probabilities for the next eThekwini mayor closely contested on prediction markets.** MK Party support leads recent polls at around 55% in one survey (Ipsos) but lower in others, positioning its candidate Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi as a frontrunner if the party secures an outright majority or favorable coalition. The IFP’s late-August naming of Deputy Transport Minister Mkhuleko Hlengwa, paired with a deputy mayoral pick, and the DA’s selection of Haniff Hoosen have boosted those contenders’ visibility. The ANC’s shortlist—including incumbent Cyril Xaba, Nomusa Dube-Ncube, and Thabani Nyawose—remains un-finalized, adding uncertainty. Service-delivery concerns such as water infrastructure and the metro’s R70-billion budget, combined with potential post-election coalition negotiations if no party wins a clear majority, sustain trader caution and prevent any single outcome from pulling decisively ahead.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,827
Date de fin
18 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Questions fréquentes

« Prochain maire d'eThekwini (Durban) ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mkhuleko Hlengwa » à 30%, suivi de « Haniff Hoosen » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 30¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain maire d'eThekwini (Durban) ? » a généré $22.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 18, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain maire d'eThekwini (Durban) ? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain maire d'eThekwini (Durban) ? » est « Mkhuleko Hlengwa » à 30%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Haniff Hoosen » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain maire d'eThekwini (Durban) ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.