Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Prochain maire de Cape Town ?
Politique·Afrique Du Sud

Prochain maire de Cape Town ?

icon for Prochain maire de Cape Town ?
Politique·Afrique Du Sud

Prochain maire de Cape Town ?

Geordin Hill-Lewis 92%

Nontando Nolutshungu 2.5%

Roger Solomons 2.3%

Cheslyn Steenberg 2.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Geordin Hill-Lewis 92%

Nontando Nolutshungu 2.5%

Roger Solomons 2.3%

Cheslyn Steenberg 2.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Geordin Hill-Lewis

Geordin Hill-Lewis

$5,415 Vol.

92%

icon for Nontando Nolutshungu

Nontando Nolutshungu

$262 Vol.

2%

icon for Roger Solomons

Roger Solomons

$211 Vol.

2%

icon for Cheslyn Steenberg

Cheslyn Steenberg

$230 Vol.

2%

icon for Dereleen James

Dereleen James

$221 Vol.

2%

icon for Zelda Tarntaal

Zelda Tarntaal

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Ernest Theron

Ernest Theron

$231 Vol.

1%

icon for Luvuyo Zondani

Luvuyo Zondani

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Fiona Abrahams

Fiona Abrahams

$221 Vol.

1%

icon for Mareldia Chowglay

Mareldia Chowglay

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Lwazi Pakade

Lwazi Pakade

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Ndithini Tyhido

Ndithini Tyhido

$221 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ellen Pakkies

Ellen Pakkies

$308 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeremiah Thuynsma

Jeremiah Thuynsma

$175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Khalid Sayed

Khalid Sayed

$329 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brett Herron

Brett Herron

$243 Vol.

<1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis holds a commanding lead in the Cape Town mayoral market as the Democratic Alliance incumbent and federal party leader, with his June 2026 nomination and five-pledge platform on policing, jobs, service delivery, housing, and public spaces reinforcing trader confidence ahead of the November 4 local elections. The city’s record of job creation and infrastructure progress under his current term, combined with polling showing the DA well ahead of rivals, underpins the consensus that the party will again secure the largest council bloc and elect its candidate. Lower-probability challengers from parties including ActionSA, GOOD, and the Patriotic Alliance reflect limited prospects for an alternative coalition outcome. Late shifts in voter turnout or unexpected coalition negotiations after results could still alter the final council vote for mayor.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,770
Date de fin
18 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis holds a commanding lead in the Cape Town mayoral market as the Democratic Alliance incumbent and federal party leader, with his June 2026 nomination and five-pledge platform on policing, jobs, service delivery, housing, and public spaces reinforcing trader confidence ahead of the November 4 local elections. The city’s record of job creation and infrastructure progress under his current term, combined with polling showing the DA well ahead of rivals, underpins the consensus that the party will again secure the largest council bloc and elect its candidate. Lower-probability challengers from parties including ActionSA, GOOD, and the Patriotic Alliance reflect limited prospects for an alternative coalition outcome. Late shifts in voter turnout or unexpected coalition negotiations after results could still alter the final council vote for mayor.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,770
Date de fin
18 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

61%
icon for Retief Odendaal sera-t-il le prochain maire de la municipalité de Nelson Mandela Bay ?

Retief Odendaal sera-t-il le prochain maire de la municipalité de Nelson Mandela Bay ?

36%
Oui
icon for Cilliers Brink sera-t-il le prochain maire de Tshwane ?

Cilliers Brink sera-t-il le prochain maire de Tshwane ?

62%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochain maire de Cape Town ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Geordin Hill-Lewis » à 92%, suivi de « Nontando Nolutshungu » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 92¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Prochain maire de Cape Town ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 18, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Prochain maire de Cape Town ? », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain maire de Cape Town ? » est « Geordin Hill-Lewis » à 92%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Nontando Nolutshungu » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain maire de Cape Town ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.