The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections remains closely balanced, with trader consensus assigning the Istiqlal Party (PI) the highest implied probability at roughly 51 percent amid a fragmented field of established parties. Recent candidate-list announcements and costed policy platforms from major contenders, including RNI, PAM, and PI, have sharpened focus on regional strongholds and economic delivery, yet lingering effects from last year’s protests and subdued voter registration have limited any decisive momentum shift. PI’s rural and territorial networks continue to support its positioning relative to RNI’s governing record and PAM’s urban outreach, while smaller parties such as PJD and USFP register minimal implied support. Scheduled campaign activities through September 22 and expectations of moderate turnout could still alter seat distributions before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPI 52%
RNI 31%
PJD 11.7%
PAM 2.5%
$37,050 Vol.
$37,050 Vol.
23 sept. 2026
PI
52%
RNI
31%
PJD
8%
PAM
2%
UC
<1%
USFP
<1%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
PI 52%
RNI 31%
PJD 11.7%
PAM 2.5%
$37,050 Vol.
$37,050 Vol.
23 sept. 2026
PI
$16,572 Vol.
52%
RNI
$15,701 Vol.
31%
PJD
$1,032 Vol.
8%
PAM
$1,283 Vol.
2%
UC
$509 Vol.
<1%
USFP
$893 Vol.
<1%
MP
$545 Vol.
<1%
PPS
$514 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections remains closely balanced, with trader consensus assigning the Istiqlal Party (PI) the highest implied probability at roughly 51 percent amid a fragmented field of established parties. Recent candidate-list announcements and costed policy platforms from major contenders, including RNI, PAM, and PI, have sharpened focus on regional strongholds and economic delivery, yet lingering effects from last year’s protests and subdued voter registration have limited any decisive momentum shift. PI’s rural and territorial networks continue to support its positioning relative to RNI’s governing record and PAM’s urban outreach, while smaller parties such as PJD and USFP register minimal implied support. Scheduled campaign activities through September 22 and expectations of moderate turnout could still alter seat distributions before resolution.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$37,050Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections remains closely balanced, with trader consensus assigning the Istiqlal Party (PI) the highest implied probability at roughly 51 percent amid a fragmented field of established parties. Recent candidate-list announcements and costed policy platforms from major contenders, including RNI, PAM, and PI, have sharpened focus on regional strongholds and economic delivery, yet lingering effects from last year’s protests and subdued voter registration have limited any decisive momentum shift. PI’s rural and territorial networks continue to support its positioning relative to RNI’s governing record and PAM’s urban outreach, while smaller parties such as PJD and USFP register minimal implied support. Scheduled campaign activities through September 22 and expectations of moderate turnout could still alter seat distributions before resolution.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$37,050Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections remains closely balanced, with trader consensus assigning the Istiqlal Party (PI) the highest implied probability at roughly 51 percent amid a fragmented field of established parties. Recent candidate-list announcements and costed policy platforms from major contenders, including RNI, PAM, and PI, have sharpened focus on regional strongholds and economic delivery, yet lingering effects from last year’s protests and subdued voter registration have limited any decisive momentum shift. PI’s rural and territorial networks continue to support its positioning relative to RNI’s governing record and PAM’s urban outreach, while smaller parties such as PJD and USFP register minimal implied support. Scheduled campaign activities through September 22 and expectations of moderate turnout could still alter seat distributions before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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