**PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because multiple national polls conducted through August and early September 2026 show it consistently ahead of other opposition parties in raw voting intention.** Morena remains the clear frontrunner at 33–46 percent, while PAN registers 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI (8–13 percent) and MC (roughly 9–12 percent) in most surveys. The PAN’s edge stems from repeated top ranking among non-Morena options, modest membership growth, and its established national infrastructure, even after the national PAN-PRI alliance ended in 2025. Recent polling also highlights a large undecided bloc (often 20–28 percent), which opposition parties hope could shift toward them. Traders appear to price in these patterns, giving PAN a strong implied probability for second place while assigning lower odds to PRI, PVEM, MC, and the governing coalition partners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 76%
PRI 15.8%
PVEM 6%
MC 1.9%
$83,209 Vol.
$83,209 Vol.
5 juin 2027
PAN
76%
PRI
16%
PT
<1%
PVEM
6%
MC
2%
Morena
1%
PAN 76%
PRI 15.8%
PVEM 6%
MC 1.9%
$83,209 Vol.
$83,209 Vol.
5 juin 2027
PAN
$38,041 Vol.
76%
PRI
$14,423 Vol.
16%
PT
$8,001 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$12,856 Vol.
6%
MC
$4,617 Vol.
2%
Morena
$5,271 Vol.
1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because multiple national polls conducted through August and early September 2026 show it consistently ahead of other opposition parties in raw voting intention.**
Morena remains the clear frontrunner at 33–46 percent, while PAN registers 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI (8–13 percent) and MC (roughly 9–12 percent) in most surveys. The PAN’s edge stems from repeated top ranking among non-Morena options, modest membership growth, and its established national infrastructure, even after the national PAN-PRI alliance ended in 2025. Recent polling also highlights a large undecided bloc (often 20–28 percent), which opposition parties hope could shift toward them. Traders appear to price in these patterns, giving PAN a strong implied probability for second place while assigning lower odds to PRI, PVEM, MC, and the governing coalition partners.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$83,209Date de fin
6 juin 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because multiple national polls conducted through August and early September 2026 show it consistently ahead of other opposition parties in raw voting intention.**
Morena remains the clear frontrunner at 33–46 percent, while PAN registers 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI (8–13 percent) and MC (roughly 9–12 percent) in most surveys. The PAN’s edge stems from repeated top ranking among non-Morena options, modest membership growth, and its established national infrastructure, even after the national PAN-PRI alliance ended in 2025. Recent polling also highlights a large undecided bloc (often 20–28 percent), which opposition parties hope could shift toward them. Traders appear to price in these patterns, giving PAN a strong implied probability for second place while assigning lower odds to PRI, PVEM, MC, and the governing coalition partners.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$83,209Date de fin
6 juin 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because multiple national polls conducted through August and early September 2026 show it consistently ahead of other opposition parties in raw voting intention.** Morena remains the clear frontrunner at 33–46 percent, while PAN registers 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI (8–13 percent) and MC (roughly 9–12 percent) in most surveys. The PAN’s edge stems from repeated top ranking among non-Morena options, modest membership growth, and its established national infrastructure, even after the national PAN-PRI alliance ended in 2025. Recent polling also highlights a large undecided bloc (often 20–28 percent), which opposition parties hope could shift toward them. Traders appear to price in these patterns, giving PAN a strong implied probability for second place while assigning lower odds to PRI, PVEM, MC, and the governing coalition partners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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