Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election places the CDU in a narrow band between 18% and 21%, well below its 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote, as the party competes in a five-way contest with Die Linke, AfD, the Greens, and SPD all clustered between 11% and 22%. Trader positioning in the lower brackets aligns with this range and the volatility seen across recent surveys, where leadership has shifted among three parties. The July replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner by Stefan Evers, combined with the CDU-SPD coalition's record and the AfD's strong performance in the September 6 Saxony-Anhalt election, has contributed to the current compression. With ten days remaining, final campaign events and turnout among undecided voters could still produce modest separation in the CDU's final share.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<17 % 40%
17-20 % 32%
20-23 % 27%
23 %+ 2.8%
$17,597 Vol.
$17,597 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<17 %
40%
17-20 %
32%
20-23 %
27%
23 %+
3%
<17 % 40%
17-20 % 32%
20-23 % 27%
23 %+ 2.8%
$17,597 Vol.
$17,597 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<17 %
$4,813 Vol.
40%
17-20 %
$7,233 Vol.
32%
20-23 %
$3,231 Vol.
27%
23 %+
$2,320 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election places the CDU in a narrow band between 18% and 21%, well below its 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote, as the party competes in a five-way contest with Die Linke, AfD, the Greens, and SPD all clustered between 11% and 22%. Trader positioning in the lower brackets aligns with this range and the volatility seen across recent surveys, where leadership has shifted among three parties. The July replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner by Stefan Evers, combined with the CDU-SPD coalition's record and the AfD's strong performance in the September 6 Saxony-Anhalt election, has contributed to the current compression. With ten days remaining, final campaign events and turnout among undecided voters could still produce modest separation in the CDU's final share.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$17,597Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election places the CDU in a narrow band between 18% and 21%, well below its 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote, as the party competes in a five-way contest with Die Linke, AfD, the Greens, and SPD all clustered between 11% and 22%. Trader positioning in the lower brackets aligns with this range and the volatility seen across recent surveys, where leadership has shifted among three parties. The July replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner by Stefan Evers, combined with the CDU-SPD coalition's record and the AfD's strong performance in the September 6 Saxony-Anhalt election, has contributed to the current compression. With ten days remaining, final campaign events and turnout among undecided voters could still produce modest separation in the CDU's final share.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$17,597Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election places the CDU in a narrow band between 18% and 21%, well below its 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote, as the party competes in a five-way contest with Die Linke, AfD, the Greens, and SPD all clustered between 11% and 22%. Trader positioning in the lower brackets aligns with this range and the volatility seen across recent surveys, where leadership has shifted among three parties. The July replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner by Stefan Evers, combined with the CDU-SPD coalition's record and the AfD's strong performance in the September 6 Saxony-Anhalt election, has contributed to the current compression. With ten days remaining, final campaign events and turnout among undecided voters could still produce modest separation in the CDU's final share.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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