Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 20 septembre ?
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$41 Vol.
Non
23°C
$41 Vol.
Non
24°C
$41 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,123 Vol.
Non
26°C
$6,946 Vol.
Non
27°C
$11,767 Vol.
Oui
28°C
$6,108 Vol.
Non
29°C
$41 Vol.
Non
30°C
$1,154 Vol.
Non
31°C
$37 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$37 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$27,337Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,337Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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