Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late summer with light southeasterly winds and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September averages show overnight lows near 26°C, and recent daily observations confirm stable conditions without significant frontal passages or enhanced rain-cooled downdrafts. This supports the market's 94.5% implied probability for 27°C as the lowest reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from localized heavy thunderstorms or revised observational data from the primary monitoring station, though model consensus and current atmospheric stability make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 21 septembre ?
27°C 94%
25°C 4%
22°C ou moins 2%
24°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$12,801 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,801 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 94%
25°C 4%
22°C ou moins 2%
24°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$12,801 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,801 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$37 Vol.
2%
23°C
$531 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
2%
25°C
$560 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,314 Vol.
2%
27°C
$3,421 Vol.
94%
28°C
$4,417 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,096 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,104 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late summer with light southeasterly winds and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September averages show overnight lows near 26°C, and recent daily observations confirm stable conditions without significant frontal passages or enhanced rain-cooled downdrafts. This supports the market's 94.5% implied probability for 27°C as the lowest reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from localized heavy thunderstorms or revised observational data from the primary monitoring station, though model consensus and current atmospheric stability make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,801Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late summer with light southeasterly winds and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September averages show overnight lows near 26°C, and recent daily observations confirm stable conditions without significant frontal passages or enhanced rain-cooled downdrafts. This supports the market's 94.5% implied probability for 27°C as the lowest reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from localized heavy thunderstorms or revised observational data from the primary monitoring station, though model consensus and current atmospheric stability make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,801Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late summer with light southeasterly winds and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September averages show overnight lows near 26°C, and recent daily observations confirm stable conditions without significant frontal passages or enhanced rain-cooled downdrafts. This supports the market's 94.5% implied probability for 27°C as the lowest reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from localized heavy thunderstorms or revised observational data from the primary monitoring station, though model consensus and current atmospheric stability make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes