Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling while preventing significant warming. This aligns with the historical average low of 55.7°F and recent observations showing overnight readings of 57–58°F under partly cloudy skies. The market’s emphasis on 58–59°F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower probabilities for sub-56°F outcomes given the absence of strong radiative cooling or northerly flow. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 22 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 22 septembre ?
58-59 °F 64%
60-61°F 23%
56-57°F 18%
52-53°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
51°F ou moins
7%
52-53°F
11%
54-55 °F
11%
56-57°F
18%
58-59 °F
40%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
5%
70°F ou plus
5%
58-59 °F 64%
60-61°F 23%
56-57°F 18%
52-53°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
51°F ou moins
$10 Vol.
7%
52-53°F
$58 Vol.
11%
54-55 °F
$0 Vol.
11%
56-57°F
$71 Vol.
18%
58-59 °F
$94 Vol.
40%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
23%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
9%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$10 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$10 Vol.
5%
70°F ou plus
$10 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling while preventing significant warming. This aligns with the historical average low of 55.7°F and recent observations showing overnight readings of 57–58°F under partly cloudy skies. The market’s emphasis on 58–59°F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower probabilities for sub-56°F outcomes given the absence of strong radiative cooling or northerly flow. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$273Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling while preventing significant warming. This aligns with the historical average low of 55.7°F and recent observations showing overnight readings of 57–58°F under partly cloudy skies. The market’s emphasis on 58–59°F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower probabilities for sub-56°F outcomes given the absence of strong radiative cooling or northerly flow. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$273Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate southwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling while preventing significant warming. This aligns with the historical average low of 55.7°F and recent observations showing overnight readings of 57–58°F under partly cloudy skies. The market’s emphasis on 58–59°F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower probabilities for sub-56°F outcomes given the absence of strong radiative cooling or northerly flow. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 20 et 20,5°C le 22 septembre ?
35%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle entre 58-59°F le 21 septembre ?
52%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 56 et 57°F le 20 septembre ?
92%
Oui
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