Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under predominantly clear skies and light winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This value aligns with mid-September climatological normals near 26°C for the urban observatory site and reflects stable subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and moisture. With the date now past and data released, trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability rests on verified measurements rather than forecasts. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternative station reading outside the standard Hong Kong Observatory criteria, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the consistency across monitoring networks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 18 septembre ?
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,520 Vol.
$21,520 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,520 Vol.
$21,520 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$81 Vol.
Non
22°C
$38 Vol.
Non
23°C
$33 Vol.
Non
24°C
$268 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,216 Vol.
Non
26°C
$8,240 Vol.
Non
27°C
$6,555 Vol.
Oui
28°C
$2,662 Vol.
Non
29°C
$53 Vol.
Non
30°C
$1,187 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$1,187 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under predominantly clear skies and light winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This value aligns with mid-September climatological normals near 26°C for the urban observatory site and reflects stable subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and moisture. With the date now past and data released, trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability rests on verified measurements rather than forecasts. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternative station reading outside the standard Hong Kong Observatory criteria, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the consistency across monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,520Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under predominantly clear skies and light winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This value aligns with mid-September climatological normals near 26°C for the urban observatory site and reflects stable subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and moisture. With the date now past and data released, trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability rests on verified measurements rather than forecasts. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternative station reading outside the standard Hong Kong Observatory criteria, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the consistency across monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,520Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under predominantly clear skies and light winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This value aligns with mid-September climatological normals near 26°C for the urban observatory site and reflects stable subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and moisture. With the date now past and data released, trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability rests on verified measurements rather than forecasts. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternative station reading outside the standard Hong Kong Observatory criteria, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the consistency across monitoring networks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes