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icon for Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales

icon for Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales

Matthew Garwood 57%

Kyle Barrett 32%

Tim Walker 12%

Paul Mallett 1.9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Matthew Garwood 57%

Kyle Barrett 32%

Tim Walker 12%

Paul Mallett 1.9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Matthew Garwood

Matthew Garwood

$3,215 Vol.

57%

icon for Kyle Barrett

Kyle Barrett

$543 Vol.

32%

icon for Tim Walker

Tim Walker

$133 Vol.

12%

icon for Paul Mallett

Paul Mallett

$578 Vol.

2%

icon for Rose Diamond

Rose Diamond

$960 Vol.

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Matthew Garwood holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the Launceston mayoral race, reflecting his established profile after winning the 2023 by-election and ongoing council role focused on infrastructure, events, and community connectedness. Challenger Kyle Barrett, a real estate agent who declared his independent bid in June 2026, has drawn support by emphasizing reduced council spending, opposition to recent rates rises on agricultural land, and criticism of project cost overruns such as the Princess Theatre redevelopment. Garwood’s July 2026 defamation court loss over a social media image may have tempered some backing. With nominations still open until late September and preferential voting in play, the contest remains competitive as voters weigh local priorities around rates, development, and financial management ahead of the October postal ballot.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$5,427
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Matthew Garwood holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the Launceston mayoral race, reflecting his established profile after winning the 2023 by-election and ongoing council role focused on infrastructure, events, and community connectedness. Challenger Kyle Barrett, a real estate agent who declared his independent bid in June 2026, has drawn support by emphasizing reduced council spending, opposition to recent rates rises on agricultural land, and criticism of project cost overruns such as the Princess Theatre redevelopment. Garwood’s July 2026 defamation court loss over a social media image may have tempered some backing. With nominations still open until late September and preferential voting in play, the contest remains competitive as voters weigh local priorities around rates, development, and financial management ahead of the October postal ballot.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$5,427
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Alison Jarman remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Devonport ?

Alison Jarman remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Devonport ?

64%
Oui
icon for Brett Whiteley remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Latrobe ?

Brett Whiteley remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Latrobe ?

77%
Oui
icon for John Kelly gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Hobart ?

John Kelly gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Hobart ?

39%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Matthew Garwood » à 57%, suivi de « Kyle Barrett » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales » est « Matthew Garwood » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kyle Barrett » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.