Official measurements from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo reached a daily maximum of 25°C on September 13, with afternoon readings peaking near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow before cooling into the evening. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome days earlier, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September when daytime highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong high-pressure systems or frontal passages. Late-day observations now show temperatures falling below 24°C, eliminating any realistic pathway to higher values or a revision below the recorded peak. Trader consensus at near-certainty for exactly 25°C reflects this convergence of verified station data and the market’s resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 13 septembre ?
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,420 Vol.
$95,420 Vol.
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,420 Vol.
$95,420 Vol.
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official measurements from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo reached a daily maximum of 25°C on September 13, with afternoon readings peaking near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow before cooling into the evening. Multiple forecast models converged on this outcome days earlier, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September when daytime highs typically range 25–28°C absent strong high-pressure systems or frontal passages. Late-day observations now show temperatures falling below 24°C, eliminating any realistic pathway to higher values or a revision below the recorded peak. Trader consensus at near-certainty for exactly 25°C reflects this convergence of verified station data and the market’s resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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