**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Busan on September 15, 2026, with near-100% implied probability.** Korea Meteorological Administration observations through the afternoon and evening show peak readings reaching 29–29.7°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, consistent with late-summer conditions featuring light northeast winds and humidity near 60–75%. Multiple forecast models aligned on a daily maximum in this narrow range, and historical September baselines for Busan (typically 26–28°C) support the current data without indicating an outlier spike. Realistic challenges would require a late-day revision from official stations, a different measurement methodology, or an unexpected cooling trend not captured in real-time reports—scenarios that appear improbable given the volume of confirming observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Busan le 15 septembre ?
29°C 100%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,286 Vol.
$23,286 Vol.
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
29°C 100%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,286 Vol.
$23,286 Vol.
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Busan on September 15, 2026, with near-100% implied probability.** Korea Meteorological Administration observations through the afternoon and evening show peak readings reaching 29–29.7°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, consistent with late-summer conditions featuring light northeast winds and humidity near 60–75%. Multiple forecast models aligned on a daily maximum in this narrow range, and historical September baselines for Busan (typically 26–28°C) support the current data without indicating an outlier spike. Realistic challenges would require a late-day revision from official stations, a different measurement methodology, or an unexpected cooling trend not captured in real-time reports—scenarios that appear improbable given the volume of confirming observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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