Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum of 28°C on September 15 amid cloudy, rainy conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with seasonal September baselines near 27–28°C, adjusted for current synoptic patterns including nearby low-pressure influences and thunderstorm activity that cap further warming. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on these verified measurements and model agreement, with real capital backing the outcome. Realistic challenges include post-event data revisions from official stations or localized microclimate variations pushing the recorded high slightly outside the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 15 septembre ?
28°C 100%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,375 Vol.
$87,375 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
28°C 100%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,375 Vol.
$87,375 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$1,548 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,373 Vol.
Non
23°C
$615 Vol.
Non
24°C
$594 Vol.
Non
25°C
$18,685 Vol.
Non
26°C
$17,533 Vol.
Non
27°C
$15,132 Vol.
Non
28°C
$12,356 Vol.
Oui
29°C
$6,820 Vol.
Non
30°C
$8,004 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$4,714 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum of 28°C on September 15 amid cloudy, rainy conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with seasonal September baselines near 27–28°C, adjusted for current synoptic patterns including nearby low-pressure influences and thunderstorm activity that cap further warming. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on these verified measurements and model agreement, with real capital backing the outcome. Realistic challenges include post-event data revisions from official stations or localized microclimate variations pushing the recorded high slightly outside the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$87,375Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum of 28°C on September 15 amid cloudy, rainy conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with seasonal September baselines near 27–28°C, adjusted for current synoptic patterns including nearby low-pressure influences and thunderstorm activity that cap further warming. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on these verified measurements and model agreement, with real capital backing the outcome. Realistic challenges include post-event data revisions from official stations or localized microclimate variations pushing the recorded high slightly outside the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87,375Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum of 28°C on September 15 amid cloudy, rainy conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with seasonal September baselines near 27–28°C, adjusted for current synoptic patterns including nearby low-pressure influences and thunderstorm activity that cap further warming. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on these verified measurements and model agreement, with real capital backing the outcome. Realistic challenges include post-event data revisions from official stations or localized microclimate variations pushing the recorded high slightly outside the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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