Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting convergence between model runs, real-time observations showing afternoon peaks around 30–31°C, and typical late-summer subtropical conditions where cloud cover and moisture limit extreme heating. Historical September averages for the region hover near 30–32°C, providing climatological support. A rapid shift to clear skies or revised official measurements exceeding the threshold could still alter resolution, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 15 septembre ?
30°C 100%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,490 Vol.
$54,490 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Oui
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C ou plus
Non
30°C 100%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,490 Vol.
$54,490 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$238 Vol.
Non
27°C
$408 Vol.
Non
28°C
$11,322 Vol.
Non
29°C
$9,545 Vol.
Non
30°C
$11,403 Vol.
Oui
31°C
$5,869 Vol.
Non
32°C
$8,054 Vol.
Non
33°C
$4,045 Vol.
Non
34°C
$2,795 Vol.
Non
35°C
$595 Vol.
Non
36°C ou plus
$214 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting convergence between model runs, real-time observations showing afternoon peaks around 30–31°C, and typical late-summer subtropical conditions where cloud cover and moisture limit extreme heating. Historical September averages for the region hover near 30–32°C, providing climatological support. A rapid shift to clear skies or revised official measurements exceeding the threshold could still alter resolution, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$54,490Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting convergence between model runs, real-time observations showing afternoon peaks around 30–31°C, and typical late-summer subtropical conditions where cloud cover and moisture limit extreme heating. Historical September averages for the region hover near 30–32°C, providing climatological support. A rapid shift to clear skies or revised official measurements exceeding the threshold could still alter resolution, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,490Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting convergence between model runs, real-time observations showing afternoon peaks around 30–31°C, and typical late-summer subtropical conditions where cloud cover and moisture limit extreme heating. Historical September averages for the region hover near 30–32°C, providing climatological support. A rapid shift to clear skies or revised official measurements exceeding the threshold could still alter resolution, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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