Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London highs of 23–25°C on September 22 under sunny intervals and light winds, supported by stable high pressure favoring clear skies and above-normal September warmth. Model consensus points to peak afternoon temperatures near 24°C, consistent with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability, as light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover allow efficient surface heating while historical September averages near 19°C. Minor model spread around cloud timing or wind shifts creates the tight clustering on 23–25°C outcomes, with traders weighting official agency guidance and recent warm-spell persistence ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 22 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 22 septembre ?
24°C 41%
25°C 26%
23°C 20%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
20%
24°C
41%
25°C
26%
26°C ou plus
8%
24°C 41%
25°C 26%
23°C 20%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$82 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$50 Vol.
2%
21°C
$171 Vol.
2%
22°C
$825 Vol.
10%
23°C
$2,089 Vol.
20%
24°C
$1,065 Vol.
41%
25°C
$2,324 Vol.
26%
26°C ou plus
$924 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London highs of 23–25°C on September 22 under sunny intervals and light winds, supported by stable high pressure favoring clear skies and above-normal September warmth. Model consensus points to peak afternoon temperatures near 24°C, consistent with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability, as light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover allow efficient surface heating while historical September averages near 19°C. Minor model spread around cloud timing or wind shifts creates the tight clustering on 23–25°C outcomes, with traders weighting official agency guidance and recent warm-spell persistence ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,863Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London highs of 23–25°C on September 22 under sunny intervals and light winds, supported by stable high pressure favoring clear skies and above-normal September warmth. Model consensus points to peak afternoon temperatures near 24°C, consistent with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability, as light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover allow efficient surface heating while historical September averages near 19°C. Minor model spread around cloud timing or wind shifts creates the tight clustering on 23–25°C outcomes, with traders weighting official agency guidance and recent warm-spell persistence ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,863Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London highs of 23–25°C on September 22 under sunny intervals and light winds, supported by stable high pressure favoring clear skies and above-normal September warmth. Model consensus points to peak afternoon temperatures near 24°C, consistent with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability, as light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover allow efficient surface heating while historical September averages near 19°C. Minor model spread around cloud timing or wind shifts creates the tight clustering on 23–25°C outcomes, with traders weighting official agency guidance and recent warm-spell persistence ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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