**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C high in Madrid on September 20 reflects official forecasts and real-time observations under clear, stable high-pressure conditions.** Multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with AEMET and GFS data, project an afternoon peak near 30–32°C with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Current readings show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 17–22°C toward that range by early evening, with no significant deviations in steering patterns or moisture. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Only an unforecasted surge in cloudiness or localized measurement differences at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 20 septembre ?
31°C 100.0%
32°C <1%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
$55,693 Vol.
$55,693 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 100.0%
32°C <1%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
$55,693 Vol.
$55,693 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$13,416 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$890 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,996 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,396 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,811 Vol.
100%
32°C
$10,749 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,801 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,487 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C high in Madrid on September 20 reflects official forecasts and real-time observations under clear, stable high-pressure conditions.** Multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with AEMET and GFS data, project an afternoon peak near 30–32°C with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Current readings show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 17–22°C toward that range by early evening, with no significant deviations in steering patterns or moisture. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Only an unforecasted surge in cloudiness or localized measurement differences at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$55,693Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C high in Madrid on September 20 reflects official forecasts and real-time observations under clear, stable high-pressure conditions.** Multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with AEMET and GFS data, project an afternoon peak near 30–32°C with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Current readings show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 17–22°C toward that range by early evening, with no significant deviations in steering patterns or moisture. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Only an unforecasted surge in cloudiness or localized measurement differences at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,693Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C high in Madrid on September 20 reflects official forecasts and real-time observations under clear, stable high-pressure conditions.** Multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with AEMET and GFS data, project an afternoon peak near 30–32°C with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Current readings show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 17–22°C toward that range by early evening, with no significant deviations in steering patterns or moisture. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Only an unforecasted surge in cloudiness or localized measurement differences at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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