California’s 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a D+5 partisan voter index and now favors Democrats in a Sacramento-area seat spanning parts of Sacramento, Placer, and Yolo counties. In the June 2 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan advanced alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican registration to contest the more favorable map. Post-primary polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s voter composition and Democratic primary consolidation underpin traders’ strong consensus for the Democratic nominee heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as turnout surges among independents, candidate-specific scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
3%
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$25,535 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$24,373 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a D+5 partisan voter index and now favors Democrats in a Sacramento-area seat spanning parts of Sacramento, Placer, and Yolo counties. In the June 2 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan advanced alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican registration to contest the more favorable map. Post-primary polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s voter composition and Democratic primary consolidation underpin traders’ strong consensus for the Democratic nominee heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as turnout surges among independents, candidate-specific scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$49,908Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a D+5 partisan voter index and now favors Democrats in a Sacramento-area seat spanning parts of Sacramento, Placer, and Yolo counties. In the June 2 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan advanced alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican registration to contest the more favorable map. Post-primary polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s voter composition and Democratic primary consolidation underpin traders’ strong consensus for the Democratic nominee heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as turnout surges among independents, candidate-specific scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,908Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a D+5 partisan voter index and now favors Democrats in a Sacramento-area seat spanning parts of Sacramento, Placer, and Yolo counties. In the June 2 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan advanced alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican registration to contest the more favorable map. Post-primary polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s voter composition and Democratic primary consolidation underpin traders’ strong consensus for the Democratic nominee heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as turnout surges among independents, candidate-specific scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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