Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 3rd congressional district race as the Democratic incumbent seeking re-election on November 3, 2026. The district, centered in western and downtown Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including Ansari’s 2024 victory. She faced no primary opposition after advancing unopposed, while Republican efforts produced only write-in or minor-party candidates with negligible support. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting entrenched partisan voter patterns and limited crossover appeal for challengers. Trader consensus prices in this outcome because structural factors—incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and district composition—have shown little movement despite routine oversight activities and legislative efforts by the incumbent. A realistic shift would require an extraordinary development such as a late scandal or national realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline Democratic performance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$52,732 Vol.
$52,732 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Yassamin Ansari (D)
98%
Parti républicain
<1%
$52,732 Vol.
$52,732 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Yassamin Ansari (D)
$32,813 Vol.
98%
Parti républicain
$19,919 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 3rd congressional district race as the Democratic incumbent seeking re-election on November 3, 2026. The district, centered in western and downtown Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including Ansari’s 2024 victory. She faced no primary opposition after advancing unopposed, while Republican efforts produced only write-in or minor-party candidates with negligible support. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting entrenched partisan voter patterns and limited crossover appeal for challengers. Trader consensus prices in this outcome because structural factors—incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and district composition—have shown little movement despite routine oversight activities and legislative efforts by the incumbent. A realistic shift would require an extraordinary development such as a late scandal or national realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline Democratic performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$52,732Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 3rd congressional district race as the Democratic incumbent seeking re-election on November 3, 2026. The district, centered in western and downtown Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including Ansari’s 2024 victory. She faced no primary opposition after advancing unopposed, while Republican efforts produced only write-in or minor-party candidates with negligible support. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting entrenched partisan voter patterns and limited crossover appeal for challengers. Trader consensus prices in this outcome because structural factors—incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and district composition—have shown little movement despite routine oversight activities and legislative efforts by the incumbent. A realistic shift would require an extraordinary development such as a late scandal or national realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline Democratic performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,732Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 3rd congressional district race as the Democratic incumbent seeking re-election on November 3, 2026. The district, centered in western and downtown Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including Ansari’s 2024 victory. She faced no primary opposition after advancing unopposed, while Republican efforts produced only write-in or minor-party candidates with negligible support. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting entrenched partisan voter patterns and limited crossover appeal for challengers. Trader consensus prices in this outcome because structural factors—incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and district composition—have shown little movement despite routine oversight activities and legislative efforts by the incumbent. A realistic shift would require an extraordinary development such as a late scandal or national realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline Democratic performance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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