Eli Crane holds the edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. The rural, northeastern district carries an R+7 partisan voting index and delivered Crane a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, while both candidates cleared their July primaries without opposition. Crane maintains a clear fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s Republican tilt, though national midterm dynamics and Democratic spending could influence turnout. A scheduled September debate proceeded without Crane’s participation. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Eli Crane (R)
70%
Jonathan Nez (D)
29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Eli Crane (R)
$2,134 Vol.
70%
Jonathan Nez (D)
$1,474 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eli Crane holds the edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. The rural, northeastern district carries an R+7 partisan voting index and delivered Crane a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, while both candidates cleared their July primaries without opposition. Crane maintains a clear fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s Republican tilt, though national midterm dynamics and Democratic spending could influence turnout. A scheduled September debate proceeded without Crane’s participation. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$3,608Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eli Crane holds the edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. The rural, northeastern district carries an R+7 partisan voting index and delivered Crane a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, while both candidates cleared their July primaries without opposition. Crane maintains a clear fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s Republican tilt, though national midterm dynamics and Democratic spending could influence turnout. A scheduled September debate proceeded without Crane’s participation. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,608Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Eli Crane holds the edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. The rural, northeastern district carries an R+7 partisan voting index and delivered Crane a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, while both candidates cleared their July primaries without opposition. Crane maintains a clear fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s Republican tilt, though national midterm dynamics and Democratic spending could influence turnout. A scheduled September debate proceeded without Crane’s participation. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes