Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman’s decisive 56.5% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean and his substantial fundraising edge, has anchored trader consensus at 93.5% for his reelection. Multiple independent forecasters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Robin Littau, who advanced with 11.4%. The redrawn boundaries and historical voting patterns in northern California counties further reinforce the incumbent’s structural advantages. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include major candidate health events, late scandals, or unexpected national political realignments capable of boosting turnout in the inland Republican-leaning portions of the district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Jared Huffman (D)
94%
Robin Littau (R)
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Jared Huffman (D)
$4,199 Vol.
94%
Robin Littau (R)
$3,552 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman’s decisive 56.5% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean and his substantial fundraising edge, has anchored trader consensus at 93.5% for his reelection. Multiple independent forecasters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Robin Littau, who advanced with 11.4%. The redrawn boundaries and historical voting patterns in northern California counties further reinforce the incumbent’s structural advantages. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include major candidate health events, late scandals, or unexpected national political realignments capable of boosting turnout in the inland Republican-leaning portions of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$7,751Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman’s decisive 56.5% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean and his substantial fundraising edge, has anchored trader consensus at 93.5% for his reelection. Multiple independent forecasters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Robin Littau, who advanced with 11.4%. The redrawn boundaries and historical voting patterns in northern California counties further reinforce the incumbent’s structural advantages. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include major candidate health events, late scandals, or unexpected national political realignments capable of boosting turnout in the inland Republican-leaning portions of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,751Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman’s decisive 56.5% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic lean and his substantial fundraising edge, has anchored trader consensus at 93.5% for his reelection. Multiple independent forecasters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Robin Littau, who advanced with 11.4%. The redrawn boundaries and historical voting patterns in northern California counties further reinforce the incumbent’s structural advantages. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include major candidate health events, late scandals, or unexpected national political realignments capable of boosting turnout in the inland Republican-leaning portions of the district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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