Recent polling from late September shows Arthur Lira, Marina JHC, and Renan Calheiros in a tight three-way contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with each voter selecting two candidates and margins within the survey error. Marina JHC’s rise to second in the latest estimates, supported by her alignment with the leading gubernatorial candidate and strong regional name recognition, underpins trader consensus pricing her highest for second place. Renan Calheiros maintains a resilient base despite trailing numerically, while Lira’s frontrunner status and established congressional networks keep his second-place probability lower. High undecided shares, the dual-vote mechanics, and ongoing factional realignments between established groups sustain the narrow probabilities across leading options.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMarina JHC 44%
Renan 31%
Arthur Lira 27%
Davi Davino Filho 1.6%
$26,456 Vol.
$26,456 Vol.
30 juin 2027
Marina JHC
44%
Renan
31%
Arthur Lira
27%
Davi Davino Filho
2%
Dr Wanderley
1%
Alexandre Fleming
<1%
Mariedson
<1%
Marina JHC 44%
Renan 31%
Arthur Lira 27%
Davi Davino Filho 1.6%
$26,456 Vol.
$26,456 Vol.
30 juin 2027
Marina JHC
$5,818 Vol.
44%
Renan
$9,751 Vol.
31%
Arthur Lira
$6,449 Vol.
27%
Davi Davino Filho
$1,326 Vol.
2%
Dr Wanderley
$1,634 Vol.
1%
Alexandre Fleming
$716 Vol.
<1%
Mariedson
$763 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late September shows Arthur Lira, Marina JHC, and Renan Calheiros in a tight three-way contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with each voter selecting two candidates and margins within the survey error. Marina JHC’s rise to second in the latest estimates, supported by her alignment with the leading gubernatorial candidate and strong regional name recognition, underpins trader consensus pricing her highest for second place. Renan Calheiros maintains a resilient base despite trailing numerically, while Lira’s frontrunner status and established congressional networks keep his second-place probability lower. High undecided shares, the dual-vote mechanics, and ongoing factional realignments between established groups sustain the narrow probabilities across leading options.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Volume
$26,456Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late September shows Arthur Lira, Marina JHC, and Renan Calheiros in a tight three-way contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with each voter selecting two candidates and margins within the survey error. Marina JHC’s rise to second in the latest estimates, supported by her alignment with the leading gubernatorial candidate and strong regional name recognition, underpins trader consensus pricing her highest for second place. Renan Calheiros maintains a resilient base despite trailing numerically, while Lira’s frontrunner status and established congressional networks keep his second-place probability lower. High undecided shares, the dual-vote mechanics, and ongoing factional realignments between established groups sustain the narrow probabilities across leading options.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,456Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Recent polling from late September shows Arthur Lira, Marina JHC, and Renan Calheiros in a tight three-way contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with each voter selecting two candidates and margins within the survey error. Marina JHC’s rise to second in the latest estimates, supported by her alignment with the leading gubernatorial candidate and strong regional name recognition, underpins trader consensus pricing her highest for second place. Renan Calheiros maintains a resilient base despite trailing numerically, while Lira’s frontrunner status and established congressional networks keep his second-place probability lower. High undecided shares, the dual-vote mechanics, and ongoing factional realignments between established groups sustain the narrow probabilities across leading options.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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