Republican majorities in Congress have generally aligned major legislation with administration priorities through 2026, reducing the volume of bills likely to reach the president's desk in divergent form. Traders cite Trump's preference for leverage tactics such as withholding signatures on measures like the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, which became law without his approval in July, and conditioning action on priorities including the SAVE America Act rather than issuing formal vetoes. Recent developments, including House passage of an Iran war powers resolution with bipartisan support and ongoing negotiations over defense funding and sanctions, have not yet produced override fights or pocket vetoes. With midterms approaching and legislative focus shifting to post-election sessions, the consensus reflects limited prospects for Congress sending sufficiently mismatched bills before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated31% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
31% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in Congress have generally aligned major legislation with administration priorities through 2026, reducing the volume of bills likely to reach the president's desk in divergent form. Traders cite Trump's preference for leverage tactics such as withholding signatures on measures like the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, which became law without his approval in July, and conditioning action on priorities including the SAVE America Act rather than issuing formal vetoes. Recent developments, including House passage of an Iran war powers resolution with bipartisan support and ongoing negotiations over defense funding and sanctions, have not yet produced override fights or pocket vetoes. With midterms approaching and legislative focus shifting to post-election sessions, the consensus reflects limited prospects for Congress sending sufficiently mismatched bills before year-end.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volume
$5,326End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in Congress have generally aligned major legislation with administration priorities through 2026, reducing the volume of bills likely to reach the president's desk in divergent form. Traders cite Trump's preference for leverage tactics such as withholding signatures on measures like the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, which became law without his approval in July, and conditioning action on priorities including the SAVE America Act rather than issuing formal vetoes. Recent developments, including House passage of an Iran war powers resolution with bipartisan support and ongoing negotiations over defense funding and sanctions, have not yet produced override fights or pocket vetoes. With midterms approaching and legislative focus shifting to post-election sessions, the consensus reflects limited prospects for Congress sending sufficiently mismatched bills before year-end.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,326End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress have generally aligned major legislation with administration priorities through 2026, reducing the volume of bills likely to reach the president's desk in divergent form. Traders cite Trump's preference for leverage tactics such as withholding signatures on measures like the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, which became law without his approval in July, and conditioning action on priorities including the SAVE America Act rather than issuing formal vetoes. Recent developments, including House passage of an Iran war powers resolution with bipartisan support and ongoing negotiations over defense funding and sanctions, have not yet produced override fights or pocket vetoes. With midterms approaching and legislative focus shifting to post-election sessions, the consensus reflects limited prospects for Congress sending sufficiently mismatched bills before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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