The Israeli Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17, 2026, fixing the legislative election for October 27 under existing law—the first such scheduled vote since 1988. Coalition statements, candidate list submissions by early September, and surplus-vote agreements have aligned with that timeline without procedural interruptions from budget disputes or internal pressures. This institutional stability underpins the 95.3% trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts remain possible from a major security escalation, successful High Court challenges altering the date, or emergency legislation amid unforeseen coalition fractures before polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated95% chance
$10,266 Vol.
$10,266 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
95% chance
$10,266 Vol.
$10,266 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17, 2026, fixing the legislative election for October 27 under existing law—the first such scheduled vote since 1988. Coalition statements, candidate list submissions by early September, and surplus-vote agreements have aligned with that timeline without procedural interruptions from budget disputes or internal pressures. This institutional stability underpins the 95.3% trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts remain possible from a major security escalation, successful High Court challenges altering the date, or emergency legislation amid unforeseen coalition fractures before polling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$10,266End Date
Oct 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17, 2026, fixing the legislative election for October 27 under existing law—the first such scheduled vote since 1988. Coalition statements, candidate list submissions by early September, and surplus-vote agreements have aligned with that timeline without procedural interruptions from budget disputes or internal pressures. This institutional stability underpins the 95.3% trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts remain possible from a major security escalation, successful High Court challenges altering the date, or emergency legislation amid unforeseen coalition fractures before polling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,266End Date
Oct 28, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Israeli Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17, 2026, fixing the legislative election for October 27 under existing law—the first such scheduled vote since 1988. Coalition statements, candidate list submissions by early September, and surplus-vote agreements have aligned with that timeline without procedural interruptions from budget disputes or internal pressures. This institutional stability underpins the 95.3% trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts remain possible from a major security escalation, successful High Court challenges altering the date, or emergency legislation amid unforeseen coalition fractures before polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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