**National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for September 17, 2026, show regionally variable rain chances driven by a mix of frontal boundaries, moisture advection, and scattered convective activity across the U.S.** Short-term model guidance indicates low to moderate probabilities of precipitation in parts of the Northeast and Midwest, with higher chances of showers or thunderstorms in portions of the Southwest, southern Plains, and Southeast tied to lingering moisture and diurnal heating. In contrast, much of the West Coast and northern Plains are expected to remain drier under stable high pressure. These patterns align with climatological norms for mid-September, when transitioning jet stream positions increase variability. Traders should monitor updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs (e.g., HRRR, NAM) issued overnight into September 17, as small shifts in steering flow or timing of any wave can alter exact rain locations and amounts before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 17?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
51%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
24%
Phoenix, AZ
55%
Philadelphia, PA
51%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
53%
Atlanta, GA
24%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
24%
Boston, MA
43%
New Orleans, LA
24%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$7 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
51%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
24%
Phoenix, AZ
55%
Philadelphia, PA
51%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
53%
Atlanta, GA
24%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
24%
Boston, MA
43%
New Orleans, LA
24%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for September 17, 2026, show regionally variable rain chances driven by a mix of frontal boundaries, moisture advection, and scattered convective activity across the U.S.** Short-term model guidance indicates low to moderate probabilities of precipitation in parts of the Northeast and Midwest, with higher chances of showers or thunderstorms in portions of the Southwest, southern Plains, and Southeast tied to lingering moisture and diurnal heating. In contrast, much of the West Coast and northern Plains are expected to remain drier under stable high pressure. These patterns align with climatological norms for mid-September, when transitioning jet stream positions increase variability. Traders should monitor updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs (e.g., HRRR, NAM) issued overnight into September 17, as small shifts in steering flow or timing of any wave can alter exact rain locations and amounts before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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