BTS’s “Swim” leads the VMA Song of the Year market at 61% implied probability, driven by its No. 1 Billboard Hot 100 debut, sustained global streaming, and the group’s dedicated fan voting base ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominated alongside tracks like Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Huntr/x’s “Golden,” Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!,” the BTS single also earned a Best K-Pop nod, reinforcing its momentum. Fan voting closes September 25, giving organized supporters a direct path to influence the outcome, while other nominees trail on combined chart longevity and mobilization. Traders appear to price in BTS’s historical VMA strength and current promotional activity as decisive factors in the final tally.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVMA Song of the Year 2026
VMA Song of the Year 2026
Swim (BTS) 60%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 23%
Golden (Huntrix) 19%
Man I Need (Olivia Dean) 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Swim (BTS)
60%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
19%
Golden (Huntrix)
19%
Man I Need (Olivia Dean)
19%
Bring Your Love (Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter)
19%
Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress)
8%
Where Is My Husband! (Raye)
8%
Swim (BTS) 60%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 23%
Golden (Huntrix) 19%
Man I Need (Olivia Dean) 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Swim (BTS)
$20 Vol.
60%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
$40 Vol.
19%
Golden (Huntrix)
$1 Vol.
19%
Man I Need (Olivia Dean)
$1 Vol.
19%
Bring Your Love (Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter)
$1 Vol.
19%
Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress)
$1 Vol.
8%
Where Is My Husband! (Raye)
$1 Vol.
8%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim” leads the VMA Song of the Year market at 61% implied probability, driven by its No. 1 Billboard Hot 100 debut, sustained global streaming, and the group’s dedicated fan voting base ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominated alongside tracks like Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Huntr/x’s “Golden,” Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!,” the BTS single also earned a Best K-Pop nod, reinforcing its momentum. Fan voting closes September 25, giving organized supporters a direct path to influence the outcome, while other nominees trail on combined chart longevity and mobilization. Traders appear to price in BTS’s historical VMA strength and current promotional activity as decisive factors in the final tally.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$66End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim” leads the VMA Song of the Year market at 61% implied probability, driven by its No. 1 Billboard Hot 100 debut, sustained global streaming, and the group’s dedicated fan voting base ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominated alongside tracks like Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Huntr/x’s “Golden,” Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!,” the BTS single also earned a Best K-Pop nod, reinforcing its momentum. Fan voting closes September 25, giving organized supporters a direct path to influence the outcome, while other nominees trail on combined chart longevity and mobilization. Traders appear to price in BTS’s historical VMA strength and current promotional activity as decisive factors in the final tally.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...BTS’s “Swim” leads the VMA Song of the Year market at 61% implied probability, driven by its No. 1 Billboard Hot 100 debut, sustained global streaming, and the group’s dedicated fan voting base ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominated alongside tracks like Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Huntr/x’s “Golden,” Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!,” the BTS single also earned a Best K-Pop nod, reinforcing its momentum. Fan voting closes September 25, giving organized supporters a direct path to influence the outcome, while other nominees trail on combined chart longevity and mobilization. Traders appear to price in BTS’s historical VMA strength and current promotional activity as decisive factors in the final tally.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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