**Street Fighter** opened to a robust $13 million Friday (including $4 million in previews) from 3,575 theaters, locking in a $30–35 million domestic debut that aligns with studio tracking and explains the overwhelming 91% market consensus. The $82 million Legendary/Capcom production benefits from a wide IMAX release, an ensemble cast including Noah Centineo, Andrew Koji, and Jason Momoa, and the enduring appeal of the Capcom fighting-game IP, which has already surpassed the combined opening weekends of the prior live-action entries. Mixed reviews (low-40s on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B– CinemaScore introduce some front-loading risk, yet the strong first-day performance against limited competition from the A24 Elizabeth Holmes documentary and other newcomers has solidified trader expectations. An upset into the 25–30 million range would require an unusually sharp Saturday/Sunday decline driven by poor word-of-mouth, while a jump above 35 million would need outsized audience hold despite the current trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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