Nobel predictions & odds

Culture·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$27M Vol.

$393K today

$2M Liq.

218

Ends in 6 months

16%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$27M Vol.

$393K today

$2M Liq.

218

Ends in 6 months

Culture·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?

$5.3K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

45%

$5.3K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Culture·Awards

Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026

$52.9K Vol.

$89.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

18%

Ariel Pakes

$52.9K Vol.

$89.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Sports·Soccer

Golden Boy 2026 Winner

$8.1K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

97%

Pau Cubarsi

$8.1K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$76.5K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

44%

December 31, 2027

$76.5K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Crypto·Pre Market

Will Noble launch a token by ___?

$35.5K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

16%

June 30, 2027

$35.5K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Tech·AI

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

$3.0K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

77%

OpenAI

$3.0K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Sports·Norway Eliteserien

Norway Eliteserien: Winner

$16.4K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

72%

Bodø/Glimt

$16.4K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Tech·AI

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$407K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

75%

December 31, 2027

$407K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Tech·AI

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$733K Vol.

$83.1K today

$35.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

66%

December 31, 2027

$733K Vol.

$83.1K today

$35.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Sports·Hockey

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner

$69 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

74%

Aaron Ekblad

$69 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Crypto·FDV

Noble FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$17.7K Vol.

$93.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

13%

$50M

$17.7K Vol.

$93.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Esports·Valorant

VALORANT Champions 2026 MVP

$44 Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

74%

Cryocells

$44 Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Sports·Soccer

UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group A4 Winner

$17.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

98%

Portugal

$17.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Sports·Baseball

MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner

$1M Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

99%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$1M Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

$1M Vol.

$53.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

99%

Jacob Misiorowski

$1M Vol.

$53.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Culture·Awards

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

$72.1K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

45%

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo

$72.1K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Geopolitics·Middle East

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

$40.3K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

10%

$40.3K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Sports·FIFA

Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

$2.4K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

49%

Kane

$2.4K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Culture·Awards

Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner

$30.6K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

30%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$30.6K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nobel.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Nobel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $30.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 15% chance to Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nobel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Nobel shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Nobel prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Nobel predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Nobel prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Nobel markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Nobel prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Nobel predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Nobel odds?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Nobel prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Nobel markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Nobel prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Nobel predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Nobel odds?

Can I track Nobel predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Nobel markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Nobel predictions & odds