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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

The Odyssey 48%

Dune: Part Three 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

The Debut 8.8%

Polymarket

$163,842 Vol.

The Odyssey 48%

Dune: Part Three 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

The Debut 8.8%

Polymarket

$163,842 Vol.

The Odyssey

$112,098 Vol.

48%

Dune: Part Three

$14,379 Vol.

16%

La Bola Negra

$2,009 Vol.

12%

The Debut

$4,305 Vol.

9%

Wild Horse Nine

$6,453 Vol.

9%

Fjord

$3,726 Vol.

6%

Digger

$5,707 Vol.

4%

Project Hail Mary

$2,408 Vol.

2%

The Invite

$590 Vol.

1%

Disclosure Day

$624 Vol.

<1%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$597 Vol.

<1%

Tony

$2,757 Vol.

<1%

Avengers: Doomsday

$729 Vol.

<1%

The Drama

$564 Vol.

<1%

Behemoth!

$2,644 Vol.

<1%

Josephine

$674 Vol.

<1%

The Social Reckoning

$572 Vol.

<1%

Fatherland

$559 Vol.

<1%

All of a Sudden

$578 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$726 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa

$564 Vol.

<1%

Saturn Return

$579 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey’s strong critical reception, box-office performance, and Nolan pedigree have anchored trader sentiment near the top of the field at 48% implied probability, reflecting broad industry consensus on its awards trajectory following a July release. Dune: Part Three sits second at 15.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior nominations and December release timing, while La Bola Negra, Wild Horse Nine, and Project Hail Mary cluster in the single digits as festival and guild momentum builders. With the 2027 race still months from nominations, the market shows a crowded middle tier of contenders whose prospects hinge on reviews, precursor awards, and voter narratives around scale, originality, and technical achievement. Key catalysts ahead include the fall festival circuit and Dune’s holiday debut.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$163,842
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey’s strong critical reception, box-office performance, and Nolan pedigree have anchored trader sentiment near the top of the field at 48% implied probability, reflecting broad industry consensus on its awards trajectory following a July release. Dune: Part Three sits second at 15.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior nominations and December release timing, while La Bola Negra, Wild Horse Nine, and Project Hail Mary cluster in the single digits as festival and guild momentum builders. With the 2027 race still months from nominations, the market shows a crowded middle tier of contenders whose prospects hinge on reviews, precursor awards, and voter narratives around scale, originality, and technical achievement. Key catalysts ahead include the fall festival circuit and Dune’s holiday debut.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$163,842
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Odyssey" at 48%, followed by "Dune: Part Three" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" has generated $163.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" is "The Odyssey" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dune: Part Three" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.