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icon for MLB: NL Manager of the Year
Sports·Baseball

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

icon for MLB: NL Manager of the Year
Sports·Baseball

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Pat Murphy 54.9%

Walt Weiss 28%

Torey Lovullo 2.2%

Craig Stammen 2.1%

Polymarket

$168,396 Vol.

Pat Murphy 54.9%

Walt Weiss 28%

Torey Lovullo 2.2%

Craig Stammen 2.1%

Polymarket

$168,396 Vol.

Pat Murphy

$15,200 Vol.

55%

Walt Weiss

$30,740 Vol.

28%

Torey Lovullo

$1,869 Vol.

2%

Craig Stammen

$1,460 Vol.

2%

Craig Counsell

$1,423 Vol.

1%

Don Kelly

$1,198 Vol.

1%

Blake Butera

$3,461 Vol.

1%

Oliver Marmol

$15,573 Vol.

1%

Clayton McCullough

$6,554 Vol.

1%

Carlos Mendoza

$22,540 Vol.

1%

Terry Francona

$3,812 Vol.

<1%

Warren Schaeffer

$5,006 Vol.

<1%

Dave Roberts

$1,543 Vol.

<1%

Rob Thomson

$55,995 Vol.

<1%

Tony Vitello

$2,021 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pat Murphy leads NL Manager of the Year trader sentiment at 55.3% implied probability, driven by the Brewers posting MLB’s best record near 92-56 and clinching a postseason berth on September 11 while maintaining the league’s strongest run differential. The 67-year-old skipper, already a back-to-back winner, has again exceeded expectations after front-office losses and sustained Milwaukee’s division dominance in the NL Central. Walt Weiss sits second at 28.0% on the strength of the Braves’ NL East lead in his first season following Brian Snitker’s retirement, with the club far surpassing 2025 results despite rotation injuries and an aggressive bullpen approach. Lower-probability names such as Torey Lovullo, Craig Stammen, and Don Mattingly trail on the back of solid but less dominant team performances.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$168,396
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pat Murphy leads NL Manager of the Year trader sentiment at 55.3% implied probability, driven by the Brewers posting MLB’s best record near 92-56 and clinching a postseason berth on September 11 while maintaining the league’s strongest run differential. The 67-year-old skipper, already a back-to-back winner, has again exceeded expectations after front-office losses and sustained Milwaukee’s division dominance in the NL Central. Walt Weiss sits second at 28.0% on the strength of the Braves’ NL East lead in his first season following Brian Snitker’s retirement, with the club far surpassing 2025 results despite rotation injuries and an aggressive bullpen approach. Lower-probability names such as Torey Lovullo, Craig Stammen, and Don Mattingly trail on the back of solid but less dominant team performances.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$168,396
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pat Murphy" at 55%, followed by "Walt Weiss" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" has generated $168.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: NL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is "Pat Murphy" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Walt Weiss" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.