Julianne Moore’s frontrunner status in the 2027 Best Actress market stems primarily from the rapturous Telluride reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 comedy-musical “The Debut,” which opened to widespread praise as a career-highlight turn blending comedy, pathos, and theatrical transformation. The film’s December release positions it for a long awards campaign, and Moore’s prior Oscar win plus the Academy’s recent openness to repeat acting honors bolster trader consensus around her implied probability. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in “Obsession” and Renate Reinsve in “Fjord” trail with far less current momentum, while established names like Sandra Hüller and Scarlett Johansson sit at minimal levels amid sparse 2026 releases and limited precursor data so far. The wide field of 50% outcomes underscores the early-stage uncertainty before guild nominations and additional festival premieres clarify the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.4%
$129,280 Vol.
$129,280 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
65%
Inde Navarrette
15%
Renate Reinsve
10%
Sandra Hüller
7%
Ruth Madeley
2%
Virginie Efira
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Scarlett Johansson
<1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.4%
$129,280 Vol.
$129,280 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
$88,053 Vol.
65%
Inde Navarrette
$22,721 Vol.
15%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Vol.
10%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 Vol.
7%
Ruth Madeley
$678 Vol.
2%
Virginie Efira
$168 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$202 Vol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 Vol.
<1%
Léa Seydoux
$837 Vol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$140 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s frontrunner status in the 2027 Best Actress market stems primarily from the rapturous Telluride reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 comedy-musical “The Debut,” which opened to widespread praise as a career-highlight turn blending comedy, pathos, and theatrical transformation. The film’s December release positions it for a long awards campaign, and Moore’s prior Oscar win plus the Academy’s recent openness to repeat acting honors bolster trader consensus around her implied probability. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in “Obsession” and Renate Reinsve in “Fjord” trail with far less current momentum, while established names like Sandra Hüller and Scarlett Johansson sit at minimal levels amid sparse 2026 releases and limited precursor data so far. The wide field of 50% outcomes underscores the early-stage uncertainty before guild nominations and additional festival premieres clarify the race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$129,280End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s frontrunner status in the 2027 Best Actress market stems primarily from the rapturous Telluride reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 comedy-musical “The Debut,” which opened to widespread praise as a career-highlight turn blending comedy, pathos, and theatrical transformation. The film’s December release positions it for a long awards campaign, and Moore’s prior Oscar win plus the Academy’s recent openness to repeat acting honors bolster trader consensus around her implied probability. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in “Obsession” and Renate Reinsve in “Fjord” trail with far less current momentum, while established names like Sandra Hüller and Scarlett Johansson sit at minimal levels amid sparse 2026 releases and limited precursor data so far. The wide field of 50% outcomes underscores the early-stage uncertainty before guild nominations and additional festival premieres clarify the race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$129,280End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s frontrunner status in the 2027 Best Actress market stems primarily from the rapturous Telluride reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 comedy-musical “The Debut,” which opened to widespread praise as a career-highlight turn blending comedy, pathos, and theatrical transformation. The film’s December release positions it for a long awards campaign, and Moore’s prior Oscar win plus the Academy’s recent openness to repeat acting honors bolster trader consensus around her implied probability. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in “Obsession” and Renate Reinsve in “Fjord” trail with far less current momentum, while established names like Sandra Hüller and Scarlett Johansson sit at minimal levels amid sparse 2026 releases and limited precursor data so far. The wide field of 50% outcomes underscores the early-stage uncertainty before guild nominations and additional festival premieres clarify the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions