Joe Wilson, the longtime Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district, holds an 88% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election market due to the seat’s consistent R+7 partisan lean, his 74% primary win, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift voter sentiment. The district spans suburban Columbia areas and rural counties with strong Republican performance in prior cycles. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who advanced via a June runoff, trails sharply at 9%, consistent with historical margins in this solidly Republican territory. Minor-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and any “other” outcomes reflect limited upside absent unforeseen events such as late polling shifts or turnout anomalies in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$38,979 Vol.
$38,979 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
88%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
9%
$38,979 Vol.
$38,979 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
$14,503 Vol.
88%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
$24,476 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson, the longtime Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district, holds an 88% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election market due to the seat’s consistent R+7 partisan lean, his 74% primary win, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift voter sentiment. The district spans suburban Columbia areas and rural counties with strong Republican performance in prior cycles. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who advanced via a June runoff, trails sharply at 9%, consistent with historical margins in this solidly Republican territory. Minor-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and any “other” outcomes reflect limited upside absent unforeseen events such as late polling shifts or turnout anomalies in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,979End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson, the longtime Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district, holds an 88% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election market due to the seat’s consistent R+7 partisan lean, his 74% primary win, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift voter sentiment. The district spans suburban Columbia areas and rural counties with strong Republican performance in prior cycles. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who advanced via a June runoff, trails sharply at 9%, consistent with historical margins in this solidly Republican territory. Minor-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and any “other” outcomes reflect limited upside absent unforeseen events such as late polling shifts or turnout anomalies in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,979End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Wilson, the longtime Republican incumbent in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district, holds an 88% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election market due to the seat’s consistent R+7 partisan lean, his 74% primary win, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift voter sentiment. The district spans suburban Columbia areas and rural counties with strong Republican performance in prior cycles. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who advanced via a June runoff, trails sharply at 9%, consistent with historical margins in this solidly Republican territory. Minor-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and any “other” outcomes reflect limited upside absent unforeseen events such as late polling shifts or turnout anomalies in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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