Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms through September 9–10 have kept Milan cooler and cloudier, suppressing daytime highs near 18–19°C and limiting overnight radiative cooling. Clearing skies and lighter winds forecast for September 11 are expected to allow greater nighttime heat loss, with official guidance and ensemble models pointing to minimum temperatures of roughly 15–17°C under partly cloudy conditions. Primary scientific variables differentiating the closely matched market outcomes include subtle differences in model-predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat retention, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the Po Valley supports this range, with no strong cold-air advection indicated in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 11?
22°C or higher 95%
12°C or below 76%
14°C 28%
13°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
76%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
16%
19°C
14%
20°C
10%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
95%
22°C or higher 95%
12°C or below 76%
14°C 28%
13°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
76%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$20 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms through September 9–10 have kept Milan cooler and cloudier, suppressing daytime highs near 18–19°C and limiting overnight radiative cooling. Clearing skies and lighter winds forecast for September 11 are expected to allow greater nighttime heat loss, with official guidance and ensemble models pointing to minimum temperatures of roughly 15–17°C under partly cloudy conditions. Primary scientific variables differentiating the closely matched market outcomes include subtle differences in model-predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat retention, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the Po Valley supports this range, with no strong cold-air advection indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms through September 9–10 have kept Milan cooler and cloudier, suppressing daytime highs near 18–19°C and limiting overnight radiative cooling. Clearing skies and lighter winds forecast for September 11 are expected to allow greater nighttime heat loss, with official guidance and ensemble models pointing to minimum temperatures of roughly 15–17°C under partly cloudy conditions. Primary scientific variables differentiating the closely matched market outcomes include subtle differences in model-predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat retention, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the Po Valley supports this range, with no strong cold-air advection indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms through September 9–10 have kept Milan cooler and cloudier, suppressing daytime highs near 18–19°C and limiting overnight radiative cooling. Clearing skies and lighter winds forecast for September 11 are expected to allow greater nighttime heat loss, with official guidance and ensemble models pointing to minimum temperatures of roughly 15–17°C under partly cloudy conditions. Primary scientific variables differentiating the closely matched market outcomes include subtle differences in model-predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat retention, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the Po Valley supports this range, with no strong cold-air advection indicated in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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