Recent forecasts from multiple models for Beijing on September 14 point to a high near 26–27°C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions with low humidity around 25–35%, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 26.7°C. Trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon readings, influenced by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and southerly advection amid stable high pressure. Historical records show highs on this date ranging from 17.8°C to 32.2°C, but current stable synoptic patterns and lack of frontal activity or cloud cover keep probabilities tightly clustered without strong upward or downward drivers. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
27°C 46%
28°C 40%
26°C 11%
29°C 7%
NEW
$22,127 Vol.
NEW
$22,127 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
11%
27°C
46%
28°C
40%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 46%
28°C 40%
26°C 11%
29°C 7%
NEW
$22,127 Vol.
NEW
$22,127 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,364 Vol.
1%
26°C
$3,223 Vol.
11%
27°C
$5,232 Vol.
46%
28°C
$5,092 Vol.
40%
29°C
$3,720 Vol.
7%
30°C
$1,276 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$1,170 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models for Beijing on September 14 point to a high near 26–27°C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions with low humidity around 25–35%, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 26.7°C. Trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon readings, influenced by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and southerly advection amid stable high pressure. Historical records show highs on this date ranging from 17.8°C to 32.2°C, but current stable synoptic patterns and lack of frontal activity or cloud cover keep probabilities tightly clustered without strong upward or downward drivers. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$22,127End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models for Beijing on September 14 point to a high near 26–27°C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions with low humidity around 25–35%, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 26.7°C. Trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon readings, influenced by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and southerly advection amid stable high pressure. Historical records show highs on this date ranging from 17.8°C to 32.2°C, but current stable synoptic patterns and lack of frontal activity or cloud cover keep probabilities tightly clustered without strong upward or downward drivers. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,127End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models for Beijing on September 14 point to a high near 26–27°C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions with low humidity around 25–35%, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 26.7°C. Trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon readings, influenced by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and southerly advection amid stable high pressure. Historical records show highs on this date ranging from 17.8°C to 32.2°C, but current stable synoptic patterns and lack of frontal activity or cloud cover keep probabilities tightly clustered without strong upward or downward drivers. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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