Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate mainly clear skies on September 20, following recent thundershowers and partly cloudy conditions that kept September 18–19 maxima at 31–34°C, slightly below seasonal norms. This clearing should enhance solar insolation and support daytime heating toward the upper 30s Celsius, tempered by high humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds that limit mixing. Trader consensus clustering on 33–34°C implied probabilities reflects model divergence over exact cloud cover and local station variations, while the modest 9% on 35°C acknowledges lingering monsoon moisture that could suppress the peak. Historical September averages near 32–34°C provide context, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at Lucknow observatories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 20?
33°C 50%
34°C 40%
35°C 8%
32°C 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
50%
34°C
40%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 50%
34°C 40%
35°C 8%
32°C 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
50%
34°C
40%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate mainly clear skies on September 20, following recent thundershowers and partly cloudy conditions that kept September 18–19 maxima at 31–34°C, slightly below seasonal norms. This clearing should enhance solar insolation and support daytime heating toward the upper 30s Celsius, tempered by high humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds that limit mixing. Trader consensus clustering on 33–34°C implied probabilities reflects model divergence over exact cloud cover and local station variations, while the modest 9% on 35°C acknowledges lingering monsoon moisture that could suppress the peak. Historical September averages near 32–34°C provide context, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at Lucknow observatories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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