Recent forecast models, including GFS outputs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Busan with light northeasterly winds and partly cloudy skies on September 14, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C. Current surface observations show afternoon temperatures climbing into the upper 20s°C under similar regimes, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Model consensus favors this narrow band, though small differences in timing of peak heating or local sea-breeze effects could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 30–32°C aligns with these near-term atmospheric patterns and limited precipitation risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 14?
31°C 52%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 2%
$13,419 Vol.
$13,419 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
26%
31°C
52%
32°C
22%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 2%
$13,419 Vol.
$13,419 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
26%
31°C
52%
32°C
22%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models, including GFS outputs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Busan with light northeasterly winds and partly cloudy skies on September 14, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C. Current surface observations show afternoon temperatures climbing into the upper 20s°C under similar regimes, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Model consensus favors this narrow band, though small differences in timing of peak heating or local sea-breeze effects could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 30–32°C aligns with these near-term atmospheric patterns and limited precipitation risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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