Recent forecasts for Austin on September 22 indicate a high in the upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and a modest 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points near 70-75°F support strong surface heating, yet variable cloud cover and localized convection introduce uncertainty that splits trader sentiment between the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins. September 2026’s record-warm start, with multiple days exceeding 100°F, sets a warm baseline, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or weak frontal influence could limit the peak. Official NWS guidance and model consensus will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on September 22?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 22?
96-97°F 44%
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 8%
NEW
$15,158 Vol.
NEW
$15,158 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
44%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 44%
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 8%
NEW
$15,158 Vol.
NEW
$15,158 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
$1,832 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$400 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$504 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$1,414 Vol.
8%
96-97°F
$5,054 Vol.
44%
98-99°F
$1,222 Vol.
38%
100-101°F
$2,267 Vol.
11%
102-103°F
$2,064 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$195 Vol.
1%
106°F or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Austin on September 22 indicate a high in the upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and a modest 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points near 70-75°F support strong surface heating, yet variable cloud cover and localized convection introduce uncertainty that splits trader sentiment between the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins. September 2026’s record-warm start, with multiple days exceeding 100°F, sets a warm baseline, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or weak frontal influence could limit the peak. Official NWS guidance and model consensus will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,158End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Austin on September 22 indicate a high in the upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and a modest 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points near 70-75°F support strong surface heating, yet variable cloud cover and localized convection introduce uncertainty that splits trader sentiment between the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins. September 2026’s record-warm start, with multiple days exceeding 100°F, sets a warm baseline, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or weak frontal influence could limit the peak. Official NWS guidance and model consensus will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,158End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Austin on September 22 indicate a high in the upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and a modest 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points near 70-75°F support strong surface heating, yet variable cloud cover and localized convection introduce uncertainty that splits trader sentiment between the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins. September 2026’s record-warm start, with multiple days exceeding 100°F, sets a warm baseline, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or weak frontal influence could limit the peak. Official NWS guidance and model consensus will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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