Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set the stage for September 22 maximum temperatures in the 27–32°C range under northeast monsoon influence, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and easterly winds of force 3–4 limiting daytime heating. This supports the near-even trader split between 31°C and 32°C as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model consensus on moderate instability and partial cloud cover that curbs peak insolation compared with clearer anticyclonic setups. Minor probabilities for 30°C or 33°C capture residual uncertainty in shower timing and wind strength, while extremes remain negligible given seasonal norms and current steering patterns. Updated HKO guidance and numerical model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
32°C 39%
31°C 33%
33°C 18%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
33%
32°C
39%
33°C
18%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 33%
33°C 18%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
$341 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$717 Vol.
1%
29°C
$829 Vol.
3%
30°C
$685 Vol.
11%
31°C
$485 Vol.
33%
32°C
$1,824 Vol.
39%
33°C
$1,919 Vol.
18%
34°C
$1,933 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$385 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set the stage for September 22 maximum temperatures in the 27–32°C range under northeast monsoon influence, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and easterly winds of force 3–4 limiting daytime heating. This supports the near-even trader split between 31°C and 32°C as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model consensus on moderate instability and partial cloud cover that curbs peak insolation compared with clearer anticyclonic setups. Minor probabilities for 30°C or 33°C capture residual uncertainty in shower timing and wind strength, while extremes remain negligible given seasonal norms and current steering patterns. Updated HKO guidance and numerical model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,491End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set the stage for September 22 maximum temperatures in the 27–32°C range under northeast monsoon influence, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and easterly winds of force 3–4 limiting daytime heating. This supports the near-even trader split between 31°C and 32°C as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model consensus on moderate instability and partial cloud cover that curbs peak insolation compared with clearer anticyclonic setups. Minor probabilities for 30°C or 33°C capture residual uncertainty in shower timing and wind strength, while extremes remain negligible given seasonal norms and current steering patterns. Updated HKO guidance and numerical model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,491End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set the stage for September 22 maximum temperatures in the 27–32°C range under northeast monsoon influence, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and easterly winds of force 3–4 limiting daytime heating. This supports the near-even trader split between 31°C and 32°C as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model consensus on moderate instability and partial cloud cover that curbs peak insolation compared with clearer anticyclonic setups. Minor probabilities for 30°C or 33°C capture residual uncertainty in shower timing and wind strength, while extremes remain negligible given seasonal norms and current steering patterns. Updated HKO guidance and numerical model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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