**Strong AI demand and constrained Blackwell B200 supply are anchoring trader expectations for on-demand rental rates near or above $6.50 per GPU-hour by end of October.** Current neocloud medians sit at $6.25–$6.82 across providers, with spot/interruptible capacity as low as $3.20–$3.92 and hyperscaler quotes reaching $14+. Recent auctions at firms like Nebius, where buyers paid 15–20% premiums for guaranteed access, underscore resilient demand from AI training and inference workloads outpacing available capacity. Production remains limited by CoWoS-L packaging bottlenecks and prior hyperscaler allocations, keeping new supply incremental. With no major capacity surge expected before late October and indices showing flat-to-slightly rising trends, the market-implied odds favor the $6.50+ band as the most likely outcome range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6.50+ 44%
$6.00-$6.50 22%
$5.50-$6.00 9.3%
$5.00-$5.50 9.2%
$18,624 Vol.
$18,624 Vol.
<$4.50
6%
$4.50-$5.00
8%
$5.00-$5.50
9%
$5.50-$6.00
9%
$6.00-$6.50
22%
$6.50+
44%
$6.50+ 44%
$6.00-$6.50 22%
$5.50-$6.00 9.3%
$5.00-$5.50 9.2%
$18,624 Vol.
$18,624 Vol.
<$4.50
6%
$4.50-$5.00
8%
$5.00-$5.50
9%
$5.50-$6.00
9%
$6.00-$6.50
22%
$6.50+
44%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong AI demand and constrained Blackwell B200 supply are anchoring trader expectations for on-demand rental rates near or above $6.50 per GPU-hour by end of October.** Current neocloud medians sit at $6.25–$6.82 across providers, with spot/interruptible capacity as low as $3.20–$3.92 and hyperscaler quotes reaching $14+. Recent auctions at firms like Nebius, where buyers paid 15–20% premiums for guaranteed access, underscore resilient demand from AI training and inference workloads outpacing available capacity. Production remains limited by CoWoS-L packaging bottlenecks and prior hyperscaler allocations, keeping new supply incremental. With no major capacity surge expected before late October and indices showing flat-to-slightly rising trends, the market-implied odds favor the $6.50+ band as the most likely outcome range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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