Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

icon for GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

$7.00+ 56%

$6.50-$7.00 9.0%

$5.50-$6.00 9%

$6.00-$6.50 7%

Polymarket

$69,625 Vol.

$7.00+ 56%

$6.50-$7.00 9.0%

$5.50-$6.00 9%

$6.00-$6.50 7%

Polymarket

$69,625 Vol.

<$3.00

$3,138 Vol.

2%

$3.00-$3.50

$3,458 Vol.

3%

$3.50-$4.00

$3,930 Vol.

3%

$4.00-$4.50

$4,487 Vol.

4%

$4.50-$5.00

$11,686 Vol.

5%

$5.00-$5.50

$8,346 Vol.

6%

$5.50-$6.00

$6,573 Vol.

9%

$6.00-$6.50

$12,427 Vol.

7%

$6.50-$7.00

$5,922 Vol.

9%

$7.00+

$9,658 Vol.

56%

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Persistent supply constraints from TSMC CoWoS advanced packaging and HBM3e memory, combined with hyperscaler AI infrastructure demand far exceeding available capacity, are the main factors supporting elevated B200 rental prices.** As of early September 2026, on-demand rates range from roughly $3.50–$16/hr across providers, with medians near $6.70–$6.82/hr and recent indices showing +5–20% gains over the prior month amid tightening spot and committed availability. NVIDIA has acknowledged supply supporting only about 70% growth despite much stronger demand, while large backlogs, priority allocations to Microsoft, Google, Meta, and others, and data-center power/buildout limits continue to constrain near-term relief. Traders see limited downside to year-end pricing because newer Blackwell Ultra or Rubin capacity arrives too late to meaningfully ease 2026 tightness, and custom ASIC alternatives have not yet displaced enough GPU workloads. Upcoming catalysts include further hyperscaler capex updates and any visible acceleration in CoWoS yields or HBM output.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$69,625
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Persistent supply constraints from TSMC CoWoS advanced packaging and HBM3e memory, combined with hyperscaler AI infrastructure demand far exceeding available capacity, are the main factors supporting elevated B200 rental prices.** As of early September 2026, on-demand rates range from roughly $3.50–$16/hr across providers, with medians near $6.70–$6.82/hr and recent indices showing +5–20% gains over the prior month amid tightening spot and committed availability. NVIDIA has acknowledged supply supporting only about 70% growth despite much stronger demand, while large backlogs, priority allocations to Microsoft, Google, Meta, and others, and data-center power/buildout limits continue to constrain near-term relief. Traders see limited downside to year-end pricing because newer Blackwell Ultra or Rubin capacity arrives too late to meaningfully ease 2026 tightness, and custom ASIC alternatives have not yet displaced enough GPU workloads. Upcoming catalysts include further hyperscaler capex updates and any visible acceleration in CoWoS yields or HBM output.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$69,625
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?

19%
icon for Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

84%
icon for Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?

44%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$7.00+" at 56%, followed by "$5.50-$6.00" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?" has generated $69.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?" is "$7.00+" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$5.50-$6.00" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.